Trader consensus gives a 52% implied probability for Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) facing formal charges by June 30, reflecting a closely contested market driven by political tensions rather than concrete legal action. No indictments, grand jury developments, or DOJ announcements have emerged in the past 30 days, keeping odds balanced despite his March censure by the Texas Republican Party over bipartisan support for border security and gun safety legislation. Factors tipping toward Yes include ongoing ethics complaints and primary runoff pressures from challenger Brandon Herrera, whom Gonzales narrowly defeated on May 28; No odds could strengthen with official denials or investigative closures. Upcoming deadlines or leaks from DOJ, Texas AG Ken Paxton’s office, or congressional ethics probes could shift sentiment rapidly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$0終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives a 52% implied probability for Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) facing formal charges by June 30, reflecting a closely contested market driven by political tensions rather than concrete legal action. No indictments, grand jury developments, or DOJ announcements have emerged in the past 30 days, keeping odds balanced despite his March censure by the Texas Republican Party over bipartisan support for border security and gun safety legislation. Factors tipping toward Yes include ongoing ethics complaints and primary runoff pressures from challenger Brandon Herrera, whom Gonzales narrowly defeated on May 28; No odds could strengthen with official denials or investigative closures. Upcoming deadlines or leaks from DOJ, Texas AG Ken Paxton’s office, or congressional ethics probes could shift sentiment rapidly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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