Speaker Mike Johnson's speakership remains precarious amid House Republicans' razor-thin majority—effectively one vote after accounting for vacancies and absences tied to 2026 midterm campaigning—which amplifies risks from internal dissent and discharge petitions. Tensions escalated last week when Johnson and House GOP rejected a bipartisan Senate continuing resolution to fund the Department of Homeland Security, opting for a 60-day GOP alternative and criticizing the Senate plan as "detestable," heightening shutdown threats during recess. House rules since January 2025 require nine Republican backers for a motion to vacate, deterring casual challenges like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's recent warning shot, but fiscal showdowns and whip count strains could tip balances upon lawmakers' return for upcoming funding votes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$97,187 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
7%
2026年12月31日
36%
$97,187 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$2,362 Vol.
7%
2026年12月31日
$1,488 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson's speakership remains precarious amid House Republicans' razor-thin majority—effectively one vote after accounting for vacancies and absences tied to 2026 midterm campaigning—which amplifies risks from internal dissent and discharge petitions. Tensions escalated last week when Johnson and House GOP rejected a bipartisan Senate continuing resolution to fund the Department of Homeland Security, opting for a 60-day GOP alternative and criticizing the Senate plan as "detestable," heightening shutdown threats during recess. House rules since January 2025 require nine Republican backers for a motion to vacate, deterring casual challenges like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's recent warning shot, but fiscal showdowns and whip count strains could tip balances upon lawmakers' return for upcoming funding votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
音量
$97,187終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson's speakership remains precarious amid House Republicans' razor-thin majority—effectively one vote after accounting for vacancies and absences tied to 2026 midterm campaigning—which amplifies risks from internal dissent and discharge petitions. Tensions escalated last week when Johnson and House GOP rejected a bipartisan Senate continuing resolution to fund the Department of Homeland Security, opting for a 60-day GOP alternative and criticizing the Senate plan as "detestable," heightening shutdown threats during recess. House rules since January 2025 require nine Republican backers for a motion to vacate, deterring casual challenges like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's recent warning shot, but fiscal showdowns and whip count strains could tip balances upon lawmakers' return for upcoming funding votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$97,187終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Speaker Mike Johnson's speakership remains precarious amid House Republicans' razor-thin majority—effectively one vote after accounting for vacancies and absences tied to 2026 midterm campaigning—which amplifies risks from internal dissent and discharge petitions. Tensions escalated last week when Johnson and House GOP rejected a bipartisan Senate continuing resolution to fund the Department of Homeland Security, opting for a 60-day GOP alternative and criticizing the Senate plan as "detestable," heightening shutdown threats during recess. House rules since January 2025 require nine Republican backers for a motion to vacate, deterring casual challenges like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's recent warning shot, but fiscal showdowns and whip count strains could tip balances upon lawmakers' return for upcoming funding votes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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