House Speaker Mike Johnson maintains his gavel with a razor-thin Republican majority in the 119th Congress, tested by recent fiscal brinkmanship including a partial DHS shutdown resolved via short-term funding after he rejected a Senate-passed bill. The January death of Rep. Doug LaMalfa further eroded the GOP edge to near parity, amplifying risks from intraparty defections or a motion to vacate, as seen in past cycles. No formal challenge has emerged in the last 30 days, but trader consensus reflects vulnerability amid whip counts on appropriations, debt ceiling deadlines, and midterm campaigning, with unity hinging on navigation of continuing resolutions and conservative holdouts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$97,202 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
7%
2026年12月31日
34%
$97,202 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$2,375 Vol.
7%
2026年12月31日
$1,491 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Speaker Mike Johnson maintains his gavel with a razor-thin Republican majority in the 119th Congress, tested by recent fiscal brinkmanship including a partial DHS shutdown resolved via short-term funding after he rejected a Senate-passed bill. The January death of Rep. Doug LaMalfa further eroded the GOP edge to near parity, amplifying risks from intraparty defections or a motion to vacate, as seen in past cycles. No formal challenge has emerged in the last 30 days, but trader consensus reflects vulnerability amid whip counts on appropriations, debt ceiling deadlines, and midterm campaigning, with unity hinging on navigation of continuing resolutions and conservative holdouts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
音量
$97,202終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Speaker Mike Johnson maintains his gavel with a razor-thin Republican majority in the 119th Congress, tested by recent fiscal brinkmanship including a partial DHS shutdown resolved via short-term funding after he rejected a Senate-passed bill. The January death of Rep. Doug LaMalfa further eroded the GOP edge to near parity, amplifying risks from intraparty defections or a motion to vacate, as seen in past cycles. No formal challenge has emerged in the last 30 days, but trader consensus reflects vulnerability amid whip counts on appropriations, debt ceiling deadlines, and midterm campaigning, with unity hinging on navigation of continuing resolutions and conservative holdouts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$97,202終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Speaker Mike Johnson maintains his gavel with a razor-thin Republican majority in the 119th Congress, tested by recent fiscal brinkmanship including a partial DHS shutdown resolved via short-term funding after he rejected a Senate-passed bill. The January death of Rep. Doug LaMalfa further eroded the GOP edge to near parity, amplifying risks from intraparty defections or a motion to vacate, as seen in past cycles. No formal challenge has emerged in the last 30 days, but trader consensus reflects vulnerability amid whip counts on appropriations, debt ceiling deadlines, and midterm campaigning, with unity hinging on navigation of continuing resolutions and conservative holdouts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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