President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
Jun 30, 2026
トム・ティリス
90%
エリザベス・ウォーレン
7%
バーニー・サンダース
2%
チャック・シューマー
15%
リサ・マーカウスキー
70%
ケビン・クレイマー
89%
ジョン・ケネディ
90%
$5,033 Vol.
トム・ティリス
$0 Vol.
90%
エリザベス・ウォーレン
$0 Vol.
7%
バーニー・サンダース
$3,072 Vol.
2%
チャック・シューマー
$0 Vol.
15%
リサ・マーカウスキー
$90 Vol.
70%
ケビン・クレイマー
$0 Vol.
89%
ジョン・ケネディ
$1,871 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
音量
$5,033終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$5,033終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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