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誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか?

Market icon

誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$5,023 Vol.

Polymarket

トム・ティリス

$0 Vol.

90%

エリザベス・ウォーレン

$0 Vol.

7%

バーニー・サンダース

$3,072 Vol.

2%

チャック・シューマー

$0 Vol.

15%

リサ・マーカウスキー

$90 Vol.

70%

ケビン・クレイマー

$0 Vol.

92%

ジョン・ケネディ

$1,861 Vol.

90%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.

President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.

President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ケビン・クレイマー」で92%、次いで「トム・ティリス」が90%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、92¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に92%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jan 30, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ケビン・クレイマー」で92%であり、市場がこの結果に92%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「トム・ティリス」で90%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。