President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
Jun 30, 2026
トム・ティリス
90%
エリザベス・ウォーレン
7%
バーニー・サンダース
2%
チャック・シューマー
15%
リサ・マーカウスキー
70%
ケビン・クレイマー
92%
ジョン・ケネディ
90%
$5,023 Vol.
トム・ティリス
$0 Vol.
90%
エリザベス・ウォーレン
$0 Vol.
7%
バーニー・サンダース
$3,072 Vol.
2%
チャック・シューマー
$0 Vol.
15%
リサ・マーカウスキー
$90 Vol.
70%
ケビン・クレイマー
$0 Vol.
92%
ジョン・ケネディ
$1,861 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
音量
$5,023終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$5,023終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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