Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance of House impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven by projections of Democrats securing a House majority in the November 2026 midterms via a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment, as evidenced by Emerson's April poll showing a 10-point Democratic generic ballot lead. Recent catalysts include President Trump's approval rating sinking to 34-40% in early May polls amid inflation resurgence, high gas prices, and perceived mishandling of Iran military actions, fueling Democratic momentum. Impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939 filed by Rep. Larson on April 7, underscore partisan pressure, though GOP's current House control delays action until post-midterms; Senate conviction remains unlikely without supermajority.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$62,255 Vol.
$62,255 Vol.
2029/01/20
はい
$62,255 Vol.
$62,255 Vol.
2029/01/20
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance of House impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven by projections of Democrats securing a House majority in the November 2026 midterms via a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment, as evidenced by Emerson's April poll showing a 10-point Democratic generic ballot lead. Recent catalysts include President Trump's approval rating sinking to 34-40% in early May polls amid inflation resurgence, high gas prices, and perceived mishandling of Iran military actions, fueling Democratic momentum. Impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939 filed by Rep. Larson on April 7, underscore partisan pressure, though GOP's current House control delays action until post-midterms; Senate conviction remains unlikely without supermajority.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$62,255終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance of House impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven by projections of Democrats securing a House majority in the November 2026 midterms via a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment, as evidenced by Emerson's April poll showing a 10-point Democratic generic ballot lead. Recent catalysts include President Trump's approval rating sinking to 34-40% in early May polls amid inflation resurgence, high gas prices, and perceived mishandling of Iran military actions, fueling Democratic momentum. Impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939 filed by Rep. Larson on April 7, underscore partisan pressure, though GOP's current House control delays action until post-midterms; Senate conviction remains unlikely without supermajority.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$62,255終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance of House impeachment at 64.5% yes, driven by projections of Democrats securing a House majority in the November 2026 midterms via a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment, as evidenced by Emerson's April poll showing a 10-point Democratic generic ballot lead. Recent catalysts include President Trump's approval rating sinking to 34-40% in early May polls amid inflation resurgence, high gas prices, and perceived mishandling of Iran military actions, fueling Democratic momentum. Impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939 filed by Rep. Larson on April 7, underscore partisan pressure, though GOP's current House control delays action until post-midterms; Senate conviction remains unlikely without supermajority.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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