Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% chance of House impeachment against President-elect Trump before his second term ends in January 2029, driven primarily by House Democrat Al Green's December 17 introduction of articles accusing him of inciting genocide over rally comments on Gaza Palestinians—a symbolic third such effort echoing his first-term impeachments. Republicans hold a slim 220-215 House majority, vulnerable to defections amid Trump's polarizing plans for mass deportations, tariffs, and agency reforms via figures like Elon Musk's DOGE initiative. While Senate conviction remains improbable with the GOP's 53-47 edge, traders weigh risks from early-term controversies, the January 3 Speaker vote, and inauguration dynamics against historical precedent and immunity rulings limiting legal threats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$6,483終了日
Jan 20, 2029マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$6,483終了日
Jan 20, 2029マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% chance of House impeachment against President-elect Trump before his second term ends in January 2029, driven primarily by House Democrat Al Green's December 17 introduction of articles accusing him of inciting genocide over rally comments on Gaza Palestinians—a symbolic third such effort echoing his first-term impeachments. Republicans hold a slim 220-215 House majority, vulnerable to defections amid Trump's polarizing plans for mass deportations, tariffs, and agency reforms via figures like Elon Musk's DOGE initiative. While Senate conviction remains improbable with the GOP's 53-47 edge, traders weigh risks from early-term controversies, the January 3 Speaker vote, and inauguration dynamics against historical precedent and immunity rulings limiting legal threats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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