The scheduled October 27, 2026, Knesset election remains on track following the July 17 dissolution of the outgoing legislature, marking the first full four-year term completion since 1988. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser confirmed the date as the latest permitted under the Basic Law, after earlier dissolution bill debates in May and June produced no shift to an earlier date. With party lists finalized by the September 8 deadline and the campaign period underway, no legislative or procedural barriers have emerged to alter the timeline. Trader consensus at 90.6% for the election occurring as scheduled reflects this entrenched legal framework, the absence of recent calls for extension or postponement, and the narrow window before the statutory deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
91% 確率
新規
新規
2026/10/27
はい
91% 確率
新規
新規
2026/10/27
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The scheduled October 27, 2026, Knesset election remains on track following the July 17 dissolution of the outgoing legislature, marking the first full four-year term completion since 1988. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser confirmed the date as the latest permitted under the Basic Law, after earlier dissolution bill debates in May and June produced no shift to an earlier date. With party lists finalized by the September 8 deadline and the campaign period underway, no legislative or procedural barriers have emerged to alter the timeline. Trader consensus at 90.6% for the election occurring as scheduled reflects this entrenched legal framework, the absence of recent calls for extension or postponement, and the narrow window before the statutory deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
音量
$7,940終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The scheduled October 27, 2026, Knesset election remains on track following the July 17 dissolution of the outgoing legislature, marking the first full four-year term completion since 1988. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser confirmed the date as the latest permitted under the Basic Law, after earlier dissolution bill debates in May and June produced no shift to an earlier date. With party lists finalized by the September 8 deadline and the campaign period underway, no legislative or procedural barriers have emerged to alter the timeline. Trader consensus at 90.6% for the election occurring as scheduled reflects this entrenched legal framework, the absence of recent calls for extension or postponement, and the narrow window before the statutory deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$7,940終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The scheduled October 27, 2026, Knesset election remains on track following the July 17 dissolution of the outgoing legislature, marking the first full four-year term completion since 1988. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser confirmed the date as the latest permitted under the Basic Law, after earlier dissolution bill debates in May and June produced no shift to an earlier date. With party lists finalized by the September 8 deadline and the campaign period underway, no legislative or procedural barriers have emerged to alter the timeline. Trader consensus at 90.6% for the election occurring as scheduled reflects this entrenched legal framework, the absence of recent calls for extension or postponement, and the narrow window before the statutory deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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