Trader consensus prices "No" at 95% for Trump impeachment by June 30, reflecting Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) after 2024 elections, making House passage of articles improbable and Senate conviction—a two-thirds threshold—virtually impossible. Speaker Mike Johnson has rejected impeachment talk, and no post-election scandals, investigations, or bipartisan momentum have materialized to challenge this. The short window post-January 20 inauguration further dampens prospects. Realistic catalysts for reversal include a major transition crisis, explosive evidence of high crimes, or narrow House GOP defections, but these face steep hurdles amid unified party control and historical precedent of failed prior impeachments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$182,955 Vol.
$182,955 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
はい
$182,955 Vol.
$182,955 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
音量
$182,955終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$182,955終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95% for Trump impeachment by June 30, reflecting Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) after 2024 elections, making House passage of articles improbable and Senate conviction—a two-thirds threshold—virtually impossible. Speaker Mike Johnson has rejected impeachment talk, and no post-election scandals, investigations, or bipartisan momentum have materialized to challenge this. The short window post-January 20 inauguration further dampens prospects. Realistic catalysts for reversal include a major transition crisis, explosive evidence of high crimes, or narrow House GOP defections, but these face steep hurdles amid unified party control and historical precedent of failed prior impeachments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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