Republican control of the House, secured in the 2024 elections with a slim majority, forms the core driver of the 96% trader consensus against Donald Trump's impeachment by June 30, 2025, as only the House can initiate articles via simple majority vote. Incoming Senate Republican dominance further diminishes conviction odds requiring two-thirds approval. Absent any active impeachment inquiries or probes, the short post-inauguration timeline—spanning just executive transition and early legislative sessions—bolsters high confidence. Realistic shifts could stem from major post-January scandals eroding GOP unity or unexpected legal rulings, though historical party-line defenses in unified government suggest low likelihood.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$175,904 Vol.
$175,904 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
はい
$175,904 Vol.
$175,904 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
音量
$175,904終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$175,904終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House, secured in the 2024 elections with a slim majority, forms the core driver of the 96% trader consensus against Donald Trump's impeachment by June 30, 2025, as only the House can initiate articles via simple majority vote. Incoming Senate Republican dominance further diminishes conviction odds requiring two-thirds approval. Absent any active impeachment inquiries or probes, the short post-inauguration timeline—spanning just executive transition and early legislative sessions—bolsters high confidence. Realistic shifts could stem from major post-January scandals eroding GOP unity or unexpected legal rulings, though historical party-line defenses in unified government suggest low likelihood.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問