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政治·トランプ

ハーグ島の石油ターミナルは...襲われるのでしょうか？

Market icon
政治·トランプ

ハーグ島の石油ターミナルは...襲われるのでしょうか？

Mar 31

Mar 31

$682,321 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$682,321 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

3月31日

$676,085 Vol.

9%

Market icon

4月30日

$6,236 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kharg Island, Iran's key Persian Gulf oil terminal handling over 90% of its crude exports, has seen no strikes amid escalating Israel-Iran tensions. Israel's October 26 airstrikes targeted Iranian military and missile production sites but deliberately spared energy infrastructure, influenced by US warnings against disrupting global oil supplies. Iranian state media reports uninterrupted operations and near-record October exports despite sanctions. No verified attacks or damage have occurred in the past 30 days, with diplomatic signals favoring de-escalation on oil assets. Traders monitor potential Iranian retaliation, Houthi actions, or renewed Israeli operations, alongside any US-brokered restraint ahead of market resolution.

Kharg Island, Iran's key Persian Gulf oil terminal handling over 90% of its crude exports, has seen no strikes amid escalating Israel-Iran tensions. Israel's October 26 airstrikes targeted Iranian military and missile production sites but deliberately spared energy infrastructure, influenced by US warnings against disrupting global oil supplies. Iranian state media reports uninterrupted operations and near-record October exports despite sanctions. No verified attacks or damage have occurred in the past 30 days, with diplomatic signals favoring de-escalation on oil assets. Traders monitor potential Iranian retaliation, Houthi actions, or renewed Israeli operations, alongside any US-brokered restraint ahead of market resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kharg Island, Iran's key Persian Gulf oil terminal handling over 90% of its crude exports, has seen no strikes amid escalating Israel-Iran tensions. Israel's October 26 airstrikes targeted Iranian military and missile production sites but deliberately spared energy infrastructure, influenced by US warnings against disrupting global oil supplies. Iranian state media reports uninterrupted operations and near-record October exports despite sanctions. No verified attacks or damage have occurred in the past 30 days, with diplomatic signals favoring de-escalation on oil assets. Traders monitor potential Iranian retaliation, Houthi actions, or renewed Israeli operations, alongside any US-brokered restraint ahead of market resolution.

Kharg Island, Iran's key Persian Gulf oil terminal handling over 90% of its crude exports, has seen no strikes amid escalating Israel-Iran tensions. Israel's October 26 airstrikes targeted Iranian military and missile production sites but deliberately spared energy infrastructure, influenced by US warnings against disrupting global oil supplies. Iranian state media reports uninterrupted operations and near-record October exports despite sanctions. No verified attacks or damage have occurred in the past 30 days, with diplomatic signals favoring de-escalation on oil assets. Traders monitor potential Iranian retaliation, Houthi actions, or renewed Israeli operations, alongside any US-brokered restraint ahead of market resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ハーグ島の石油ターミナルは...襲われるのでしょうか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4月30日」で31%、次いで「3月31日」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、31¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に31%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ハーグ島の石油ターミナルは...襲われるのでしょうか？」は$682.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ハーグ島の石油ターミナルは...襲われるのでしょうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ハーグ島の石油ターミナルは...襲われるのでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「4月30日」で31%であり、市場がこの結果に31%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ハーグ島の石油ターミナルは...襲われるのでしょうか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。