The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, by a 220-208 partisan vote but has seen no Senate action since receipt that day, despite repeated Republican urgings in early 2026. Democratic opposition, including from mayors and voting rights groups, cites barriers to eligible voters, while no committee referral or floor vote has materialized amid filibuster risks in the narrowly divided Senate. With the 119th Congress approaching its end and a related SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296) advancing separately, traders' 87% implied probability on "No" reflects the bill's stalled procedural status and slim path to enactment and presidential signature by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$133,673 Vol.
$133,673 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$133,673 Vol.
$133,673 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, by a 220-208 partisan vote but has seen no Senate action since receipt that day, despite repeated Republican urgings in early 2026. Democratic opposition, including from mayors and voting rights groups, cites barriers to eligible voters, while no committee referral or floor vote has materialized amid filibuster risks in the narrowly divided Senate. With the 119th Congress approaching its end and a related SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296) advancing separately, traders' 87% implied probability on "No" reflects the bill's stalled procedural status and slim path to enactment and presidential signature by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
音量
$133,673終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, by a 220-208 partisan vote but has seen no Senate action since receipt that day, despite repeated Republican urgings in early 2026. Democratic opposition, including from mayors and voting rights groups, cites barriers to eligible voters, while no committee referral or floor vote has materialized amid filibuster risks in the narrowly divided Senate. With the 119th Congress approaching its end and a related SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296) advancing separately, traders' 87% implied probability on "No" reflects the bill's stalled procedural status and slim path to enactment and presidential signature by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$133,673終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, by a 220-208 partisan vote but has seen no Senate action since receipt that day, despite repeated Republican urgings in early 2026. Democratic opposition, including from mayors and voting rights groups, cites barriers to eligible voters, while no committee referral or floor vote has materialized amid filibuster risks in the narrowly divided Senate. With the 119th Congress approaching its end and a related SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296) advancing separately, traders' 87% implied probability on "No" reflects the bill's stalled procedural status and slim path to enactment and presidential signature by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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