Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between four (38%) and five (36%) pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March, reflecting exactly four bills enacted to date amid a slowing legislative pace. On March 26, Trump signed H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211 into law, following S. 4138 earlier in the month, capping activity after earlier threats to withhold signatures pending priority measures like the SAVE America Act. The tight race persists due to partisan deadlock over DHS appropriations, with the House rejecting a Senate funding bill on March 27 and Trump issuing an executive memorandum for TSA pay to avert shutdown impacts. With three days left until resolution, a surprise bipartisan deal on funding or minor bills could tip toward five, but entrenched divisions and end-of-month procedural hurdles make additional signings unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日7 4.7%
6 4.2%
8本以上 4.0%
1 1.6%
$20,215 Vol.
$20,215 Vol.
0
<1%
1
2%
2
1%
3
<1%
4
38%
5
36%
6
4%
7
5%
8本以上
13%
7 4.7%
6 4.2%
8本以上 4.0%
1 1.6%
$20,215 Vol.
$20,215 Vol.
0
<1%
1
2%
2
1%
3
<1%
4
38%
5
36%
6
4%
7
5%
8本以上
13%
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between four (38%) and five (36%) pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March, reflecting exactly four bills enacted to date amid a slowing legislative pace. On March 26, Trump signed H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211 into law, following S. 4138 earlier in the month, capping activity after earlier threats to withhold signatures pending priority measures like the SAVE America Act. The tight race persists due to partisan deadlock over DHS appropriations, with the House rejecting a Senate funding bill on March 27 and Trump issuing an executive memorandum for TSA pay to avert shutdown impacts. With three days left until resolution, a surprise bipartisan deal on funding or minor bills could tip toward five, but entrenched divisions and end-of-month procedural hurdles make additional signings unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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