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政治·議会

トランプ大統領は3月に何件の法案に署名しますか？

Market icon
政治·議会

トランプ大統領は3月に何件の法案に署名しますか？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

6 3.0%

8本以上 2.5%

7 1.5%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$24,749 Vol.

6 3.0%

8本以上 2.5%

7 1.5%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$24,749 Vol.

0

$5,372 Vol.

<1%

1

$2,123 Vol.

<1%

2

$7,070 Vol.

<1%

3

$2,556 Vol.

1%

4

$1,757 Vol.

61%

5

$3,153 Vol.

30%

6

$2,086 Vol.

3%

7

$445 Vol.

2%

8本以上

$185 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 4 pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 57.5%, driven by the recent enactment of two minor bills—S. 4138 waiving a posthumous promotion notice on March 20 (Public Law 119-80) and H.R. 7211 authorizing a Medal of Honor on March 26 (Public Law 119-81), plus reports of H.R. 3377 similarly signed that day. This modest pace reflects a congressional slowdown after Trump's March 9 declaration refusing to sign further bills absent a revised Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act overhauling voter registration. With March 31 approaching and no major floor votes scheduled amid the impasse, traders expect 1-2 additional unanimous consent measures like veteran honors, consistent with historical late-month patterns for ceremonial enactments exceeding 90 public laws annually.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 4 pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 57.5%, driven by the recent enactment of two minor bills—S. 4138 waiving a posthumous promotion notice on March 20 (Public Law 119-80) and H.R. 7211 authorizing a Medal of Honor on March 26 (Public Law 119-81), plus reports of H.R. 3377 similarly signed that day. This modest pace reflects a congressional slowdown after Trump's March 9 declaration refusing to sign further bills absent a revised Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act overhauling voter registration. With March 31 approaching and no major floor votes scheduled amid the impasse, traders expect 1-2 additional unanimous consent measures like veteran honors, consistent with historical late-month patterns for ceremonial enactments exceeding 90 public laws annually.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 4 pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 57.5%, driven by the recent enactment of two minor bills—S. 4138 waiving a posthumous promotion notice on March 20 (Public Law 119-80) and H.R. 7211 authorizing a Medal of Honor on March 26 (Public Law 119-81), plus reports of H.R. 3377 similarly signed that day. This modest pace reflects a congressional slowdown after Trump's March 9 declaration refusing to sign further bills absent a revised Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act overhauling voter registration. With March 31 approaching and no major floor votes scheduled amid the impasse, traders expect 1-2 additional unanimous consent measures like veteran honors, consistent with historical late-month patterns for ceremonial enactments exceeding 90 public laws annually.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 4 pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 57.5%, driven by the recent enactment of two minor bills—S. 4138 waiving a posthumous promotion notice on March 20 (Public Law 119-80) and H.R. 7211 authorizing a Medal of Honor on March 26 (Public Law 119-81), plus reports of H.R. 3377 similarly signed that day. This modest pace reflects a congressional slowdown after Trump's March 9 declaration refusing to sign further bills absent a revised Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act overhauling voter registration. With March 31 approaching and no major floor votes scheduled amid the impasse, traders expect 1-2 additional unanimous consent measures like veteran honors, consistent with historical late-month patterns for ceremonial enactments exceeding 90 public laws annually.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は3月に何件の法案に署名しますか？」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4」で61%、次いで「5」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、61¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に61%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は3月に何件の法案に署名しますか？」は$24.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は3月に何件の法案に署名しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は3月に何件の法案に署名しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「4」で61%であり、市場がこの結果に61%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「5」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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