Recent generic ballot polls, including YouGov/Economist (April 3-6) showing Democrats ahead 44%-42% among registered voters—a drop from prior +6 margins—and a Florida survey (late March-April) with Democrats at 46%-45%, have narrowed the Democratic edge, fostering trader skepticism of a blue tsunami. Historical midterm losses for the president's party create Democratic opportunities to flip the House amid GOP's slim majority, yet Republican resilience in recent special elections, such as Clay Fuller's victory in Georgia's 14th District runoff, and favorable redistricting bolster defenses. Competitive battlegrounds, uncertain turnout, and upcoming primaries maintain the close contest; sustained economic growth or scandals could tip toward either narrow House flip or status quo retention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$23,192 Vol.
$23,192 Vol.
2026/11/30
はい
$23,192 Vol.
$23,192 Vol.
2026/11/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdfRecent generic ballot polls, including YouGov/Economist (April 3-6) showing Democrats ahead 44%-42% among registered voters—a drop from prior +6 margins—and a Florida survey (late March-April) with Democrats at 46%-45%, have narrowed the Democratic edge, fostering trader skepticism of a blue tsunami. Historical midterm losses for the president's party create Democratic opportunities to flip the House amid GOP's slim majority, yet Republican resilience in recent special elections, such as Clay Fuller's victory in Georgia's 14th District runoff, and favorable redistricting bolster defenses. Competitive battlegrounds, uncertain turnout, and upcoming primaries maintain the close contest; sustained economic growth or scandals could tip toward either narrow House flip or status quo retention.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
マーケット開始日： Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
音量
$23,192終了日
2026/11/30マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdfRecent generic ballot polls, including YouGov/Economist (April 3-6) showing Democrats ahead 44%-42% among registered voters—a drop from prior +6 margins—and a Florida survey (late March-April) with Democrats at 46%-45%, have narrowed the Democratic edge, fostering trader skepticism of a blue tsunami. Historical midterm losses for the president's party create Democratic opportunities to flip the House amid GOP's slim majority, yet Republican resilience in recent special elections, such as Clay Fuller's victory in Georgia's 14th District runoff, and favorable redistricting bolster defenses. Competitive battlegrounds, uncertain turnout, and upcoming primaries maintain the close contest; sustained economic growth or scandals could tip toward either narrow House flip or status quo retention.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
音量
$23,192終了日
2026/11/30マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent generic ballot polls, including YouGov/Economist (April 3-6) showing Democrats ahead 44%-42% among registered voters—a drop from prior +6 margins—and a Florida survey (late March-April) with Democrats at 46%-45%, have narrowed the Democratic edge, fostering trader skepticism of a blue tsunami. Historical midterm losses for the president's party create Democratic opportunities to flip the House amid GOP's slim majority, yet Republican resilience in recent special elections, such as Clay Fuller's victory in Georgia's 14th District runoff, and favorable redistricting bolster defenses. Competitive battlegrounds, uncertain turnout, and upcoming primaries maintain the close contest; sustained economic growth or scandals could tip toward either narrow House flip or status quo retention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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