Democrats hold a national generic ballot lead of five to seven points six months before the 2026 midterms, consistent with the historical tendency for the president's party to lose ground. Low approval ratings for President Trump, combined with Republican retirements in competitive districts and ongoing redistricting battles, have fueled trader expectations of House gains for Democrats. An Iran-related conflict and affordability concerns have further shaped recent polling trends favoring the opposition. The closely balanced odds reflect offsetting factors, including a challenging Senate map requiring net gains of roughly four seats and uncertainty over final turnout and economic conditions that could alter the scale of any shift before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$28,774 Vol.
$28,774 Vol.
2026/11/30
はい
$28,774 Vol.
$28,774 Vol.
2026/11/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdfDemocrats hold a national generic ballot lead of five to seven points six months before the 2026 midterms, consistent with the historical tendency for the president's party to lose ground. Low approval ratings for President Trump, combined with Republican retirements in competitive districts and ongoing redistricting battles, have fueled trader expectations of House gains for Democrats. An Iran-related conflict and affordability concerns have further shaped recent polling trends favoring the opposition. The closely balanced odds reflect offsetting factors, including a challenging Senate map requiring net gains of roughly four seats and uncertainty over final turnout and economic conditions that could alter the scale of any shift before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
マーケット開始日： Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
音量
$28,774終了日
2026/11/30マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdfDemocrats hold a national generic ballot lead of five to seven points six months before the 2026 midterms, consistent with the historical tendency for the president's party to lose ground. Low approval ratings for President Trump, combined with Republican retirements in competitive districts and ongoing redistricting battles, have fueled trader expectations of House gains for Democrats. An Iran-related conflict and affordability concerns have further shaped recent polling trends favoring the opposition. The closely balanced odds reflect offsetting factors, including a challenging Senate map requiring net gains of roughly four seats and uncertainty over final turnout and economic conditions that could alter the scale of any shift before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
音量
$28,774終了日
2026/11/30マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats hold a national generic ballot lead of five to seven points six months before the 2026 midterms, consistent with the historical tendency for the president's party to lose ground. Low approval ratings for President Trump, combined with Republican retirements in competitive districts and ongoing redistricting battles, have fueled trader expectations of House gains for Democrats. An Iran-related conflict and affordability concerns have further shaped recent polling trends favoring the opposition. The closely balanced odds reflect offsetting factors, including a challenging Senate map requiring net gains of roughly four seats and uncertainty over final turnout and economic conditions that could alter the scale of any shift before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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