Recent Democratic turnout surges in March 2026 primaries across Texas, North Carolina, and Illinois—outpacing Republicans by wide margins—have boosted trader consensus toward higher House popular vote totals, positioning 125-130 million ballots at 25.5% implied probability amid historic midterm polarization. This closely contested market, with 115-120 million at 20%, reflects uncertainty rooted in 2022's 111 million benchmark and polls showing Democratic enthusiasm advantages on the generic congressional ballot, tempered by potential Republican mobilization. Sustained high primary participation, economic trends, swing state special election results, and summer primaries could widen separation, while fading motivation risks reverting to lower historical norms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1億1500万～1億2000万 22%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 20%
1億1000万～1億1500万 17%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 17%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
5%
8,500万～9,000万
8%
9,000万〜9,500万
2%
9,500万〜1億
4%
1億〜1億500万
8%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
13%
1億1000万～1億1500万
17%
1億1500万～1億2000万
22%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
17%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
27%
1億3,000万以上
6%
1億1500万～1億2000万 22%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 20%
1億1000万～1億1500万 17%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 17%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
$319 Vol.
5%
8,500万～9,000万
$419 Vol.
8%
9,000万〜9,500万
$806 Vol.
2%
9,500万〜1億
$269 Vol.
4%
1億〜1億500万
$631 Vol.
8%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
$431 Vol.
13%
1億1000万～1億1500万
$339 Vol.
17%
1億1500万～1億2000万
$1,020 Vol.
22%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
$332 Vol.
17%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
$1,057 Vol.
27%
1億3,000万以上
$245 Vol.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent Democratic turnout surges in March 2026 primaries across Texas, North Carolina, and Illinois—outpacing Republicans by wide margins—have boosted trader consensus toward higher House popular vote totals, positioning 125-130 million ballots at 25.5% implied probability amid historic midterm polarization. This closely contested market, with 115-120 million at 20%, reflects uncertainty rooted in 2022's 111 million benchmark and polls showing Democratic enthusiasm advantages on the generic congressional ballot, tempered by potential Republican mobilization. Sustained high primary participation, economic trends, swing state special election results, and summer primaries could widen separation, while fading motivation risks reverting to lower historical norms.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
音量
$5,867終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent Democratic turnout surges in March 2026 primaries across Texas, North Carolina, and Illinois—outpacing Republicans by wide margins—have boosted trader consensus toward higher House popular vote totals, positioning 125-130 million ballots at 25.5% implied probability amid historic midterm polarization. This closely contested market, with 115-120 million at 20%, reflects uncertainty rooted in 2022's 111 million benchmark and polls showing Democratic enthusiasm advantages on the generic congressional ballot, tempered by potential Republican mobilization. Sustained high primary participation, economic trends, swing state special election results, and summer primaries could widen separation, while fading motivation risks reverting to lower historical norms.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$5,867終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Democratic turnout surges in March 2026 primaries across Texas, North Carolina, and Illinois—outpacing Republicans by wide margins—have boosted trader consensus toward higher House popular vote totals, positioning 125-130 million ballots at 25.5% implied probability amid historic midterm polarization. This closely contested market, with 115-120 million at 20%, reflects uncertainty rooted in 2022's 111 million benchmark and polls showing Democratic enthusiasm advantages on the generic congressional ballot, tempered by potential Republican mobilization. Sustained high primary participation, economic trends, swing state special election results, and summer primaries could widen separation, while fading motivation risks reverting to lower historical norms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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