Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1億2500万〜1億3000万 26%
1億3,000万以上 18%
1億1500万～1億2000万 16%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
<1%
8,500万～9,000万
1%
9,000万〜9,500万
1%
9,500万〜1億
1%
1億〜1億500万
1%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
7%
1億1000万～1億1500万
12%
1億1500万～1億2000万
16%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
17%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
26%
1億3,000万以上
18%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 26%
1億3,000万以上 18%
1億1500万～1億2000万 16%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
$324 Vol.
<1%
8,500万～9,000万
$419 Vol.
1%
9,000万〜9,500万
$1,552 Vol.
1%
9,500万〜1億
$269 Vol.
1%
1億〜1億500万
$791 Vol.
1%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
$436 Vol.
7%
1億1000万～1億1500万
$526 Vol.
12%
1億1500万～1億2000万
$1,025 Vol.
16%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
$408 Vol.
17%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
$1,199 Vol.
26%
1億3,000万以上
$294 Vol.
18%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
音量
$7,242終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$7,242終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問