Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's incumbency advantage and the opposition's fragmentation into alliances like Armenia Alliance and emerging Strong Armenia. Recent polls, including EVN Report's late February survey and CivilNet's early March data, show Civil Contract leading at around 24% amid 30% undecided voters, whose consolidation could secure a plurality under proportional representation. Pashinyan's reconfirmation as the party's prime ministerial candidate on March 30 via intra-party vote reinforces unity, while campaign intensification and geopolitical shifts away from Russia sustain momentum despite opposition claims of administrative pressure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日シビル・コントラクト 83%
アルメニア連合 8%
ルミナス・アルメニア 4.7%
私は名誉同盟 1.7%
$90,388 Vol.
$90,388 Vol.
2026/06/07
シビル・コントラクト
83%
アルメニア連合
8%
ルミナス・アルメニア
5%
私は名誉同盟
2%
アルメニア国民会議
<1%
繁栄するアルメニア
<1%
ハンラペトゥティウン党
<1%
ヘリテージ
<1%
オリナツ・イェルキル
<1%
シビル・コントラクト 83%
アルメニア連合 8%
ルミナス・アルメニア 4.7%
私は名誉同盟 1.7%
$90,388 Vol.
$90,388 Vol.
2026/06/07
シビル・コントラクト
$38,397 Vol.
83%
アルメニア連合
$48,918 Vol.
8%
ルミナス・アルメニア
$1,911 Vol.
5%
私は名誉同盟
$0 Vol.
2%
アルメニア国民会議
$1,162 Vol.
<1%
繁栄するアルメニア
$0 Vol.
<1%
ハンラペトゥティウン党
$0 Vol.
<1%
ヘリテージ
$0 Vol.
<1%
オリナツ・イェルキル
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's incumbency advantage and the opposition's fragmentation into alliances like Armenia Alliance and emerging Strong Armenia. Recent polls, including EVN Report's late February survey and CivilNet's early March data, show Civil Contract leading at around 24% amid 30% undecided voters, whose consolidation could secure a plurality under proportional representation. Pashinyan's reconfirmation as the party's prime ministerial candidate on March 30 via intra-party vote reinforces unity, while campaign intensification and geopolitical shifts away from Russia sustain momentum despite opposition claims of administrative pressure.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
音量
$90,388終了日
2026/06/07マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's incumbency advantage and the opposition's fragmentation into alliances like Armenia Alliance and emerging Strong Armenia. Recent polls, including EVN Report's late February survey and CivilNet's early March data, show Civil Contract leading at around 24% amid 30% undecided voters, whose consolidation could secure a plurality under proportional representation. Pashinyan's reconfirmation as the party's prime ministerial candidate on March 30 via intra-party vote reinforces unity, while campaign intensification and geopolitical shifts away from Russia sustain momentum despite opposition claims of administrative pressure.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
音量
$90,388終了日
2026/06/07マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's incumbency advantage and the opposition's fragmentation into alliances like Armenia Alliance and emerging Strong Armenia. Recent polls, including EVN Report's late February survey and CivilNet's early March data, show Civil Contract leading at around 24% amid 30% undecided voters, whose consolidation could secure a plurality under proportional representation. Pashinyan's reconfirmation as the party's prime ministerial candidate on March 30 via intra-party vote reinforces unity, while campaign intensification and geopolitical shifts away from Russia sustain momentum despite opposition claims of administrative pressure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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