Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs PB at 96% to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting late-March polls like Alpha Research showing the Rumen Radev-backed Progressive Bulgaria alliance at 30.8% versus GERB–SDS's 21.2%. This lead has held steady since Radev's early March party registration amid the country's eighth vote in five years, fueled by voter fatigue with instability and fragmented opposition including PP–DB, DPS, and Vazrazhdane. Caretaker PM Gyurov's April 1 pledge for the "cleanest elections" via vote-buying crackdowns bolsters confidence. Upsets could arise from turnout spikes favoring established parties, persistent fraud, or late anti-PB consolidation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日PB 95.8%
GERB–SDS 3.0%
Velichie <1%
PP–DB <1%
$58,955 Vol.
$58,955 Vol.
2026/04/19
PB
96%
GERB–SDS
3%
Velichie
<1%
PP–DB
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
BSP-統一左派
<1%
MECH
<1%
ヴァズラジダーネ
<1%
DPS
<1%
PB 95.8%
GERB–SDS 3.0%
Velichie <1%
PP–DB <1%
$58,955 Vol.
$58,955 Vol.
2026/04/19
PB
$14,860 Vol.
96%
GERB–SDS
$5,985 Vol.
3%
Velichie
$5,349 Vol.
<1%
PP–DB
$6,311 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$4,438 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,988 Vol.
<1%
BSP-統一左派
$5,128 Vol.
<1%
MECH
$4,513 Vol.
<1%
ヴァズラジダーネ
$4,131 Vol.
<1%
DPS
$4,252 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs PB at 96% to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting late-March polls like Alpha Research showing the Rumen Radev-backed Progressive Bulgaria alliance at 30.8% versus GERB–SDS's 21.2%. This lead has held steady since Radev's early March party registration amid the country's eighth vote in five years, fueled by voter fatigue with instability and fragmented opposition including PP–DB, DPS, and Vazrazhdane. Caretaker PM Gyurov's April 1 pledge for the "cleanest elections" via vote-buying crackdowns bolsters confidence. Upsets could arise from turnout spikes favoring established parties, persistent fraud, or late anti-PB consolidation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
音量
$58,955終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs PB at 96% to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting late-March polls like Alpha Research showing the Rumen Radev-backed Progressive Bulgaria alliance at 30.8% versus GERB–SDS's 21.2%. This lead has held steady since Radev's early March party registration amid the country's eighth vote in five years, fueled by voter fatigue with instability and fragmented opposition including PP–DB, DPS, and Vazrazhdane. Caretaker PM Gyurov's April 1 pledge for the "cleanest elections" via vote-buying crackdowns bolsters confidence. Upsets could arise from turnout spikes favoring established parties, persistent fraud, or late anti-PB consolidation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$58,955終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs PB at 96% to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting late-March polls like Alpha Research showing the Rumen Radev-backed Progressive Bulgaria alliance at 30.8% versus GERB–SDS's 21.2%. This lead has held steady since Radev's early March party registration amid the country's eighth vote in five years, fueled by voter fatigue with instability and fragmented opposition including PP–DB, DPS, and Vazrazhdane. Caretaker PM Gyurov's April 1 pledge for the "cleanest elections" via vote-buying crackdowns bolsters confidence. Upsets could arise from turnout spikes favoring established parties, persistent fraud, or late anti-PB consolidation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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