Market icon
政治·世界選挙

次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？

Market icon
政治·世界選挙

次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？

340–354 35%

355以上 32%

325～339 16%

310〜324 12.3%

Polymarket
NEW

340–354 35%

355以上 32%

325～339 16%

310〜324 12.3%

Polymarket
NEW

280未満

$0 Vol.

4%

280～294

$0 Vol.

8%

295～309

$0 Vol.

6%

310〜324

$0 Vol.

12%

325～339

$227 Vol.

16%

340–354

$245 Vol.

35%

355以上

$5,358 Vol.

32%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 340–354 seats (35%) or 355+ (32.5%) in the September 2026 State Duma elections as near-equally likely, reflecting expectations of strong performance in the 225 single-mandate districts combined with 30–41% party list support in recent FOM and VCIOM polls. Recent polls show stable but modest list vote intentions amid economic pressures like rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin-directed media campaigns highlighting United Russia's social initiatives and war veteran nominations on its list led by Dmitry Medvedev. The tight race persists due to uncertainty over turnout, administrative mobilization, and potential war fatigue impacts on proportional representation outcomes, with economic stabilization or intensified propaganda potentially pushing toward 355+ while scandals or inflation spikes could pull below 340.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 340–354 seats (35%) or 355+ (32.5%) in the September 2026 State Duma elections as near-equally likely, reflecting expectations of strong performance in the 225 single-mandate districts combined with 30–41% party list support in recent FOM and VCIOM polls. Recent polls show stable but modest list vote intentions amid economic pressures like rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin-directed media campaigns highlighting United Russia's social initiatives and war veteran nominations on its list led by Dmitry Medvedev. The tight race persists due to uncertainty over turnout, administrative mobilization, and potential war fatigue impacts on proportional representation outcomes, with economic stabilization or intensified propaganda potentially pushing toward 355+ while scandals or inflation spikes could pull below 340.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 340–354 seats (35%) or 355+ (32.5%) in the September 2026 State Duma elections as near-equally likely, reflecting expectations of strong performance in the 225 single-mandate districts combined with 30–41% party list support in recent FOM and VCIOM polls. Recent polls show stable but modest list vote intentions amid economic pressures like rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin-directed media campaigns highlighting United Russia's social initiatives and war veteran nominations on its list led by Dmitry Medvedev. The tight race persists due to uncertainty over turnout, administrative mobilization, and potential war fatigue impacts on proportional representation outcomes, with economic stabilization or intensified propaganda potentially pushing toward 355+ while scandals or inflation spikes could pull below 340.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 340–354 seats (35%) or 355+ (32.5%) in the September 2026 State Duma elections as near-equally likely, reflecting expectations of strong performance in the 225 single-mandate districts combined with 30–41% party list support in recent FOM and VCIOM polls. Recent polls show stable but modest list vote intentions amid economic pressures like rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin-directed media campaigns highlighting United Russia's social initiatives and war veteran nominations on its list led by Dmitry Medvedev. The tight race persists due to uncertainty over turnout, administrative mobilization, and potential war fatigue impacts on proportional representation outcomes, with economic stabilization or intensified propaganda potentially pushing toward 355+ while scandals or inflation spikes could pull below 340.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「340–354」で35%、次いで「355以上」が33%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、35¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に35%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jan 7, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「340–354」で35%であり、市場がこの結果に35%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「355以上」で33%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。