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icon for 次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？
政治·世界選挙

次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？

icon for 次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？
政治·世界選挙

次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？

310〜324 30.0%

355以上 23%

295～309 18.3%

340–354 17%

Polymarket

$23,897 Vol.

310〜324 30.0%

355以上 23%

295～309 18.3%

340–354 17%

Polymarket

$23,897 Vol.

280未満

$6,243 Vol.

7%

280～294

$2,707 Vol.

8%

295～309

$1,601 Vol.

18%

310〜324

$1,416 Vol.

30%

325～339

$1,667 Vol.

11%

340–354

$1,401 Vol.

17%

355以上

$8,862 Vol.

23%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus prices a modest constitutional majority for United Russia at 310–324 seats (30.1% implied probability), edging out a supermajority of 355+ (23.0%), amid April 2026 polls showing party support at 28–52% across firms like FOM, VCIOM, and WCIOM—down from 49% in 2021—reflecting war fatigue, rising prices, and mobilization concerns. The race stays tight due to variability in proportional list intentions versus expected single-member district sweeps via administrative resources, new constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories, and expanded electronic voting. Recent circulation of a United Russia campaign guide dodging tough voter questions underscores defensiveness, while suppression limits opposition like CPRF and LDPR. Battlefield shifts, Putin endorsements, or economic data before September 18–20 voting could widen the spread.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$23,897
終了日
2026/09/20
マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus prices a modest constitutional majority for United Russia at 310–324 seats (30.1% implied probability), edging out a supermajority of 355+ (23.0%), amid April 2026 polls showing party support at 28–52% across firms like FOM, VCIOM, and WCIOM—down from 49% in 2021—reflecting war fatigue, rising prices, and mobilization concerns. The race stays tight due to variability in proportional list intentions versus expected single-member district sweeps via administrative resources, new constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories, and expanded electronic voting. Recent circulation of a United Russia campaign guide dodging tough voter questions underscores defensiveness, while suppression limits opposition like CPRF and LDPR. Battlefield shifts, Putin endorsements, or economic data before September 18–20 voting could widen the spread.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$23,897
終了日
2026/09/20
マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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よくある質問

「次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「310〜324」で30%、次いで「355以上」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、30¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に30%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？」は$23.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 7, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「310〜324」で30%であり、市場がこの結果に30%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「355以上」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次のロシア議会選挙で統一ロシアは何議席を獲得しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。