Trader consensus prices Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 47.5% to claim the most wins in Bolivia's 2026 gubernatorial elections, driven by ruling Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)'s plunge to 5% amid its crippling internal schism between President Luis Arce and former President Evo Morales, exacerbated by Morales' October party expulsion and ongoing arrest warrant over alleged coup plotting. Persistent economic turmoil—including fuel shortages, dollar scarcity, and inflation—has fueled nationwide protests, eroding MAS support and elevating opposition sentiment. Regional autonomy pushes bolster Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (21.5%) in Santa Cruz, while Christian Democratic Party (PDC, 22%) and Popular Alliance (AP, 21.5%) reflect fragmented anti-MAS coalitions ahead of 2026 primaries and the March vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日統一ブロック（UNIDAD） 17%
国民同盟（AP） 9%
キリスト教民主党（PDC） 9%
自治ボリビア・スーマテ（APBスーマテ） 5%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
統一ブロック（UNIDAD）
17%
国民同盟（AP）
22%
キリスト教民主党（PDC）
22%
自治ボリビア・スーマテ（APBスーマテ）
22%
社会主義運動（MAS-IPSP）
5%
リーブル–自由と民主主義（LIBRE）
48%
統一ブロック（UNIDAD） 17%
国民同盟（AP） 9%
キリスト教民主党（PDC） 9%
自治ボリビア・スーマテ（APBスーマテ） 5%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
統一ブロック（UNIDAD）
$0 Vol.
17%
国民同盟（AP）
$0 Vol.
22%
キリスト教民主党（PDC）
$0 Vol.
22%
自治ボリビア・スーマテ（APBスーマテ）
$0 Vol.
22%
社会主義運動（MAS-IPSP）
$0 Vol.
5%
リーブル–自由と民主主義（LIBRE）
$0 Vol.
48%
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus prices Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 47.5% to claim the most wins in Bolivia's 2026 gubernatorial elections, driven by ruling Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)'s plunge to 5% amid its crippling internal schism between President Luis Arce and former President Evo Morales, exacerbated by Morales' October party expulsion and ongoing arrest warrant over alleged coup plotting. Persistent economic turmoil—including fuel shortages, dollar scarcity, and inflation—has fueled nationwide protests, eroding MAS support and elevating opposition sentiment. Regional autonomy pushes bolster Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (21.5%) in Santa Cruz, while Christian Democratic Party (PDC, 22%) and Popular Alliance (AP, 21.5%) reflect fragmented anti-MAS coalitions ahead of 2026 primaries and the March vote.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Mar 22, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus prices Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 47.5% to claim the most wins in Bolivia's 2026 gubernatorial elections, driven by ruling Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)'s plunge to 5% amid its crippling internal schism between President Luis Arce and former President Evo Morales, exacerbated by Morales' October party expulsion and ongoing arrest warrant over alleged coup plotting. Persistent economic turmoil—including fuel shortages, dollar scarcity, and inflation—has fueled nationwide protests, eroding MAS support and elevating opposition sentiment. Regional autonomy pushes bolster Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (21.5%) in Santa Cruz, while Christian Democratic Party (PDC, 22%) and Popular Alliance (AP, 21.5%) reflect fragmented anti-MAS coalitions ahead of 2026 primaries and the March vote.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
音量
$0終了日
Mar 22, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 47.5% to claim the most wins in Bolivia's 2026 gubernatorial elections, driven by ruling Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)'s plunge to 5% amid its crippling internal schism between President Luis Arce and former President Evo Morales, exacerbated by Morales' October party expulsion and ongoing arrest warrant over alleged coup plotting. Persistent economic turmoil—including fuel shortages, dollar scarcity, and inflation—has fueled nationwide protests, eroding MAS support and elevating opposition sentiment. Regional autonomy pushes bolster Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (21.5%) in Santa Cruz, while Christian Democratic Party (PDC, 22%) and Popular Alliance (AP, 21.5%) reflect fragmented anti-MAS coalitions ahead of 2026 primaries and the March vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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