Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chun Jae-soo at 68% implied probability to win the 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting Democratic Party momentum from recent local polls where he leads incumbent Park Heong-joon (25.5%) by double digits—such as a late August Realmeter survey showing Chun at 42% versus Park's 28%. The DP's parliamentary supermajority victory in April 2024 has boosted challenger prospects in traditionally conservative Busan, amid voter concerns over urban development and economic pressures challenging Park's re-election path. Party primaries conclude by early 2026 ahead of the June vote; national trends, endorsements, and turnout among swing voters could alter dynamics in this first-past-the-post race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日チョン・ジェス 68%
パク・ヒョンジュン 26%
チェ・インホ 1.6%
チョ・ギョンテ 1.1%
$95,892 Vol.
$95,892 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
チョン・ジェス
68%
パク・ヒョンジュン
26%
チェ・インホ
2%
チョ・ギョンテ
1%
チョ・グク
1%
イ・ジェソン
1%
ソ・ビョンス
1%
キム・ヨンチュン
<1%
パク・ソンフン
<1%
ホン・スンホン
<1%
キム・ドゥオプ
<1%
パク・ジェホ
<1%
チョン・ジェス 68%
パク・ヒョンジュン 26%
チェ・インホ 1.6%
チョ・ギョンテ 1.1%
$95,892 Vol.
$95,892 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
チョン・ジェス
$0 Vol.
68%
パク・ヒョンジュン
$8,853 Vol.
26%
チェ・インホ
$31,893 Vol.
2%
チョ・ギョンテ
$0 Vol.
1%
チョ・グク
$42,673 Vol.
1%
イ・ジェソン
$0 Vol.
1%
ソ・ビョンス
$12,474 Vol.
1%
キム・ヨンチュン
$0 Vol.
<1%
パク・ソンフン
$0 Vol.
<1%
ホン・スンホン
$0 Vol.
<1%
キム・ドゥオプ
$0 Vol.
<1%
パク・ジェホ
$0 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
音量
$95,892終了日
Jun 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
音量
$95,892終了日
Jun 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chun Jae-soo at 68% implied probability to win the 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting Democratic Party momentum from recent local polls where he leads incumbent Park Heong-joon (25.5%) by double digits—such as a late August Realmeter survey showing Chun at 42% versus Park's 28%. The DP's parliamentary supermajority victory in April 2024 has boosted challenger prospects in traditionally conservative Busan, amid voter concerns over urban development and economic pressures challenging Park's re-election path. Party primaries conclude by early 2026 ahead of the June vote; national trends, endorsements, and turnout among swing voters could alter dynamics in this first-past-the-post race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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