Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni as Benin's next president with 88.5% implied probability, driven by incumbent President Patrice Talon's clear endorsement and Wadagni's pivotal role in sustaining economic growth amid infrastructure reforms. Recent developments, including Wadagni's official declaration as the ruling Union Progressiste Union's candidate in late 2024 and polls from Afrobarometer showing him at 75-85% support, have solidified his lead by sidelining fragmented opposition under 2021 electoral changes that raised candidacy hurdles. Paul Hounkpè, a former interior minister and secondary ruling party figure, holds 10.5% as traders price in his name recognition but limited momentum ahead of the April 2026 vote, where Talon's coalition dominance remains key.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Apr 12, 2026
Romuald Wadagni
89%
Paul Hounkpè
11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 12, 2026
Romuald Wadagni
$83 Vol.
89%
Paul Hounkpè
$100 Vol.
11%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
音量
$183終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$183終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni as Benin's next president with 88.5% implied probability, driven by incumbent President Patrice Talon's clear endorsement and Wadagni's pivotal role in sustaining economic growth amid infrastructure reforms. Recent developments, including Wadagni's official declaration as the ruling Union Progressiste Union's candidate in late 2024 and polls from Afrobarometer showing him at 75-85% support, have solidified his lead by sidelining fragmented opposition under 2021 electoral changes that raised candidacy hurdles. Paul Hounkpè, a former interior minister and secondary ruling party figure, holds 10.5% as traders price in his name recognition but limited momentum ahead of the April 2026 vote, where Talon's coalition dominance remains key.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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