With the Andalusian regional election five days away on May 17, trader consensus prices VOX seats in a tight 16-18 range at 39%, mirroring divergent final polls projecting 13-19 seats amid stable 13-15% vote shares. Recent Sigma Dos (13-14 seats) and IMOP Insights (17-19) surveys highlight uncertainty from provincial D'Hondt seat allocations, where VOX risks losses in strongholds like Almería but potential gains in Sevilla. May 4 and 11 debates intensified right-wing vote competition, as incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno absorbs transfers while critiquing VOX's "national priority" immigration stance, stalling its growth from 14 seats in 2022. Final turnout and undecideds could tip toward higher or lower bins before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日16-18 44%
13-15 28%
19-21 27%
<13 12.1%
新規
新規
2026/05/17
<13
12%
13-15
28%
16-18
39%
19-21
27%
22+
6%
16-18 44%
13-15 28%
19-21 27%
<13 12.1%
新規
新規
2026/05/17
<13
$242 Vol.
12%
13-15
$452 Vol.
28%
16-18
$332 Vol.
39%
19-21
$1,056 Vol.
27%
22+
$296 Vol.
6%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).With the Andalusian regional election five days away on May 17, trader consensus prices VOX seats in a tight 16-18 range at 39%, mirroring divergent final polls projecting 13-19 seats amid stable 13-15% vote shares. Recent Sigma Dos (13-14 seats) and IMOP Insights (17-19) surveys highlight uncertainty from provincial D'Hondt seat allocations, where VOX risks losses in strongholds like Almería but potential gains in Sevilla. May 4 and 11 debates intensified right-wing vote competition, as incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno absorbs transfers while critiquing VOX's "national priority" immigration stance, stalling its growth from 14 seats in 2022. Final turnout and undecideds could tip toward higher or lower bins before polls close.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
音量
$2,377終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).With the Andalusian regional election five days away on May 17, trader consensus prices VOX seats in a tight 16-18 range at 39%, mirroring divergent final polls projecting 13-19 seats amid stable 13-15% vote shares. Recent Sigma Dos (13-14 seats) and IMOP Insights (17-19) surveys highlight uncertainty from provincial D'Hondt seat allocations, where VOX risks losses in strongholds like Almería but potential gains in Sevilla. May 4 and 11 debates intensified right-wing vote competition, as incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno absorbs transfers while critiquing VOX's "national priority" immigration stance, stalling its growth from 14 seats in 2022. Final turnout and undecideds could tip toward higher or lower bins before polls close.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
音量
$2,377終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the Andalusian regional election five days away on May 17, trader consensus prices VOX seats in a tight 16-18 range at 39%, mirroring divergent final polls projecting 13-19 seats amid stable 13-15% vote shares. Recent Sigma Dos (13-14 seats) and IMOP Insights (17-19) surveys highlight uncertainty from provincial D'Hondt seat allocations, where VOX risks losses in strongholds like Almería but potential gains in Sevilla. May 4 and 11 debates intensified right-wing vote competition, as incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno absorbs transfers while critiquing VOX's "national priority" immigration stance, stalling its growth from 14 seats in 2022. Final turnout and undecideds could tip toward higher or lower bins before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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