David Roth holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability as the Idaho Democratic U.S. Senate primary winner on May 19, driven by his fundraising lead of about $7,500 since early 2025—far outpacing Nickolas Bonds' $594 and Brad Moore's negligible totals—along with name recognition from prior federal and state races. A May 14 Idaho Statesman endorsement praised Roth's nonprofit leadership, policy depth on affordability and healthcare, and strongest general election matchup against incumbent Republican Jim Risch, reinforcing trader consensus in this low-turnout primary. Challengers could surge via unexpected late endorsements or scandals hitting Roth, but organizational edges and imminent voting present high barriers to upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日David Roth 94%
Nickolas Bonds 6.0%
Brad Moore 1.3%
$19,594 Vol.
$19,594 Vol.
David Roth
94%
Nickolas Bonds
6%
Brad Moore
1%
David Roth 94%
Nickolas Bonds 6.0%
Brad Moore 1.3%
$19,594 Vol.
$19,594 Vol.
David Roth
94%
Nickolas Bonds
6%
Brad Moore
1%
If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Apr 16, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...David Roth holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability as the Idaho Democratic U.S. Senate primary winner on May 19, driven by his fundraising lead of about $7,500 since early 2025—far outpacing Nickolas Bonds' $594 and Brad Moore's negligible totals—along with name recognition from prior federal and state races. A May 14 Idaho Statesman endorsement praised Roth's nonprofit leadership, policy depth on affordability and healthcare, and strongest general election matchup against incumbent Republican Jim Risch, reinforcing trader consensus in this low-turnout primary. Challengers could surge via unexpected late endorsements or scandals hitting Roth, but organizational edges and imminent voting present high barriers to upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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