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政治·英国

ハックニー市長選挙の勝者

Market icon
政治·英国

ハックニー市長選挙の勝者

ゾーイ・ガーベット 50%

キャロライン・ウッドリー 41%

ヴァヒド・アルマシ 7%

エヴァ・スタインハルト 6%

Polymarket
新規

ゾーイ・ガーベット 50%

キャロライン・ウッドリー 41%

ヴァヒド・アルマシ 7%

エヴァ・スタインハルト 6%

Polymarket
新規
ゾーイ・ガーベットは2026年のロンドン・ハックニー区長選挙で勝利しますか？ icon

ゾーイ・ガーベット

$20 Vol.

50%

キャロライン・ウッドリーは2026年のロンドン・ハックニー区長選挙に勝つでしょうか？ icon

キャロライン・ウッドリー

$14 Vol.

41%

ヴァヒド・アルマシは2026年のロンドン・ハックニー区長選挙で勝利するでしょうか？ icon

ヴァヒド・アルマシ

$14 Vol.

7%

エヴァ・スタインハルトは2026年ハックニー・ロンドン特別区の市長選挙に勝つでしょうか？ icon

エヴァ・スタインハルト

$67 Vol.

6%

タレケ・グレッグは2026年ロンドン・ハックニー区長選挙で勝利しますか？ icon

タレケ・グレッグ

$39 Vol.

5%

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Trader consensus prices Green Party's Zoë Garbett slightly ahead of Labour incumbent Caroline Woodley in the Hackney mayoral race, reflecting the challenger's surge from 24.5% in the 2023 by-election to near frontrunner status amid ongoing Green gains in council by-elections and projections favoring them for the most seats on May 7. Labour's dominance since the directly elected mayor role began in 2022 faces pressure from local issues like housing, fly-tipping, and services, compounded by the prior mayor's 2023 resignation scandal. Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, Conservative Tareke Gregg, and Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt trail as minor contenders in this first-past-the-post contest. Key developments include recent hustings and voter registration deadlines, with turnout poised to tip the balance in the closely contested borough-wide vote.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
音量
$153
終了日
2026/05/07
マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Trader consensus prices Green Party's Zoë Garbett slightly ahead of Labour incumbent Caroline Woodley in the Hackney mayoral race, reflecting the challenger's surge from 24.5% in the 2023 by-election to near frontrunner status amid ongoing Green gains in council by-elections and projections favoring them for the most seats on May 7. Labour's dominance since the directly elected mayor role began in 2022 faces pressure from local issues like housing, fly-tipping, and services, compounded by the prior mayor's 2023 resignation scandal. Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, Conservative Tareke Gregg, and Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt trail as minor contenders in this first-past-the-post contest. Key developments include recent hustings and voter registration deadlines, with turnout poised to tip the balance in the closely contested borough-wide vote.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
音量
$153
終了日
2026/05/07
マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ハックニー市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ゾーイ・ガーベット」で50%、次いで「キャロライン・ウッドリー」が41%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、50¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に50%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ハックニー市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ハックニー市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ハックニー市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ゾーイ・ガーベット」で50%であり、市場がこの結果に50%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「キャロライン・ウッドリー」で41%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ハックニー市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。