California’s 26th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary produced a clear Democratic nominee in state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin after incumbent Representative Julia Brownley announced her retirement, while the Republican side advanced Sam Gallucci with far less support. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the market’s heavy consensus on a Democratic hold in the November general election. Structural factors such as voter registration advantages and limited crossover appeal for Republicans limit realistic paths for an upset, though late developments including turnout shifts or national political swings could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,443 Vol.
$29,443 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$29,443 Vol.
$29,443 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$15,836 Vol.
94%
共和党
$13,607 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 26th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary produced a clear Democratic nominee in state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin after incumbent Representative Julia Brownley announced her retirement, while the Republican side advanced Sam Gallucci with far less support. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the market’s heavy consensus on a Democratic hold in the November general election. Structural factors such as voter registration advantages and limited crossover appeal for Republicans limit realistic paths for an upset, though late developments including turnout shifts or national political swings could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$29,443終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 26th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary produced a clear Democratic nominee in state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin after incumbent Representative Julia Brownley announced her retirement, while the Republican side advanced Sam Gallucci with far less support. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the market’s heavy consensus on a Democratic hold in the November general election. Structural factors such as voter registration advantages and limited crossover appeal for Republicans limit realistic paths for an upset, though late developments including turnout shifts or national political swings could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,443終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 26th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary produced a clear Democratic nominee in state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin after incumbent Representative Julia Brownley announced her retirement, while the Republican side advanced Sam Gallucci with far less support. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the market’s heavy consensus on a Democratic hold in the November general election. Structural factors such as voter registration advantages and limited crossover appeal for Republicans limit realistic paths for an upset, though late developments including turnout shifts or national political swings could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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