The open TX-21 House race favors Republicans at 85% trader consensus following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win, capturing 62% in a 14-candidate field after incumbent Chip Roy vacated for the Texas attorney general contest. The district's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+11) and history of GOP dominance underpin this positioning, with no early general election polls challenging the outlook. Democrat Kristin Hook advanced from her primary with 60% but confronts structural headwinds in this Hill Country-heavy battleground stretching to San Antonio suburbs. Absent major shifts like scandals or national midterm waves, the November 3 general election tilts heavily toward Teixeira.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
85%
民主党
12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$7,644 Vol.
85%
民主党
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-21 House race favors Republicans at 85% trader consensus following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win, capturing 62% in a 14-candidate field after incumbent Chip Roy vacated for the Texas attorney general contest. The district's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+11) and history of GOP dominance underpin this positioning, with no early general election polls challenging the outlook. Democrat Kristin Hook advanced from her primary with 60% but confronts structural headwinds in this Hill Country-heavy battleground stretching to San Antonio suburbs. Absent major shifts like scandals or national midterm waves, the November 3 general election tilts heavily toward Teixeira.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$7,644終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-21 House race favors Republicans at 85% trader consensus following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win, capturing 62% in a 14-candidate field after incumbent Chip Roy vacated for the Texas attorney general contest. The district's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+11) and history of GOP dominance underpin this positioning, with no early general election polls challenging the outlook. Democrat Kristin Hook advanced from her primary with 60% but confronts structural headwinds in this Hill Country-heavy battleground stretching to San Antonio suburbs. Absent major shifts like scandals or national midterm waves, the November 3 general election tilts heavily toward Teixeira.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,644終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open TX-21 House race favors Republicans at 85% trader consensus following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win, capturing 62% in a 14-candidate field after incumbent Chip Roy vacated for the Texas attorney general contest. The district's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+11) and history of GOP dominance underpin this positioning, with no early general election polls challenging the outlook. Democrat Kristin Hook advanced from her primary with 60% but confronts structural headwinds in this Hill Country-heavy battleground stretching to San Antonio suburbs. Absent major shifts like scandals or national midterm waves, the November 3 general election tilts heavily toward Teixeira.
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