Recent opinion polls ahead of the September 2026 Swedish parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead, while the Sweden Democrats hold a narrow edge over the Moderate Party for second place. May surveys from SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator place SD at 18–20% and Moderates at 17–19%, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in Polymarket pricing. The right-leaning Tidö coalition dynamics and limited movement in smaller parties have kept focus on this SD–Moderate contest. No major shifts have emerged in the past month to alter these relative standings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Liberals (L) 8.8%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.7%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
6%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
9%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Liberals (L) 8.8%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.7%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
6%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
9%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of the September 2026 Swedish parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead, while the Sweden Democrats hold a narrow edge over the Moderate Party for second place. May surveys from SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator place SD at 18–20% and Moderates at 17–19%, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in Polymarket pricing. The right-leaning Tidö coalition dynamics and limited movement in smaller parties have kept focus on this SD–Moderate contest. No major shifts have emerged in the past month to alter these relative standings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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