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MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 92%

David Trone 7%

Kiambo White <1%

George Gluck <1%

Polymarket

$20,623 Vol.

April McClain Delaney 92%

David Trone 7%

Kiambo White <1%

George Gluck <1%

Polymarket

$20,623 Vol.

April McClain Delaney

$5,217 Vol.

92%

David Trone

$3,218 Vol.

7%

Kiambo White

$3,348 Vol.

1%

George Gluck

$2,173 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Krakower

$1,692 Vol.

<1%

Alexis Goldstein

$1,705 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$1,840 Vol.

<1%

Altimont Wilks

$1,431 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**April McClain Delaney holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary** as the incumbent representative seeking renomination on June 23, 2026. She defeated predecessor David Trone’s open-seat bid in 2024 after his unsuccessful Senate campaign and has since maintained strong polling margins (often double digits) and high approval ratings despite Trone’s multimillion-dollar self-funded challenge. Key drivers include her established incumbency advantages, endorsements from state and local Democrats, and consistent voter preference in recent surveys even as both candidates have poured personal funds into the race. Trone, a former representative who represented the district from 2019 to 2025, has emphasized his financial resources and prior tenure but faces criticism over past legislative positions and campaign messaging disputes. The remaining candidates, including Kiambo White, George Gluck, and others, have shown negligible support in available data and lack comparable resources or visibility. With early voting underway and the primary one week away, the market’s 92% implied probability for McClain Delaney reflects the sustained polling gap and limited time for shifts. A realistic challenge would require a sharp late surge in turnout favoring Trone or an unforeseen development altering voter perceptions in the final days, though no such movement has appeared in recent reporting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,623
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**April McClain Delaney holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary** as the incumbent representative seeking renomination on June 23, 2026. She defeated predecessor David Trone’s open-seat bid in 2024 after his unsuccessful Senate campaign and has since maintained strong polling margins (often double digits) and high approval ratings despite Trone’s multimillion-dollar self-funded challenge. Key drivers include her established incumbency advantages, endorsements from state and local Democrats, and consistent voter preference in recent surveys even as both candidates have poured personal funds into the race. Trone, a former representative who represented the district from 2019 to 2025, has emphasized his financial resources and prior tenure but faces criticism over past legislative positions and campaign messaging disputes. The remaining candidates, including Kiambo White, George Gluck, and others, have shown negligible support in available data and lack comparable resources or visibility. With early voting underway and the primary one week away, the market’s 92% implied probability for McClain Delaney reflects the sustained polling gap and limited time for shifts. A realistic challenge would require a sharp late surge in turnout favoring Trone or an unforeseen development altering voter perceptions in the final days, though no such movement has appeared in recent reporting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,623
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「April McClain Delaney」で92%、次いで「David Trone」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、92¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に92%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」は$20.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 19, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「April McClain Delaney」で92%であり、市場がこの結果に92%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「David Trone」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。