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icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 52%

David Trone 34%

Kiambo White 5%

Altimont Wilks 4.3%

Polymarket
新規

April McClain Delaney 52%

David Trone 34%

Kiambo White 5%

Altimont Wilks 4.3%

Polymarket
新規

April McClain Delaney

$197 Vol.

52%

David Trone

$157 Vol.

34%

Kiambo White

$130 Vol.

5%

Altimont Wilks

$218 Vol.

4%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$161 Vol.

4%

Daniel Krakower

$439 Vol.

4%

George Gluck

$151 Vol.

3%

Alexis Goldstein

$112 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent April McClain Delaney holds the leading position in Maryland’s 6th Congressional District Democratic primary, set for June 23, as recent internal polls show her ahead of former representative David Trone by double digits despite his heavy self-funding. Traders price her ahead because she benefits from incumbency advantages, consistent voter approval, and effective responses to Trone’s campaign tactics, including a cease-and-desist over misleading use of congressional titles in advertisements. The contest has grown more combative in recent weeks, with both candidates trading accusations on immigration votes and alignment with broader party priorities, while minor candidates remain far behind in endorsements and fundraising. This dynamic reinforces the current market consensus ahead of the vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,565
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent April McClain Delaney holds the leading position in Maryland’s 6th Congressional District Democratic primary, set for June 23, as recent internal polls show her ahead of former representative David Trone by double digits despite his heavy self-funding. Traders price her ahead because she benefits from incumbency advantages, consistent voter approval, and effective responses to Trone’s campaign tactics, including a cease-and-desist over misleading use of congressional titles in advertisements. The contest has grown more combative in recent weeks, with both candidates trading accusations on immigration votes and alignment with broader party priorities, while minor candidates remain far behind in endorsements and fundraising. This dynamic reinforces the current market consensus ahead of the vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,565
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「April McClain Delaney」で52%、次いで「David Trone」が34%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、52¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に52%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 19, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「April McClain Delaney」で52%であり、市場がこの結果に52%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「David Trone」で34%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。