Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The March 2026 retirement announcement by longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders ahead of the August 4 vote and leaving Democratic options comparatively underdeveloped. Cook Political Report and similar forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus that places the GOP at 91.5 percent implied probability. A late Republican primary upset producing a controversial nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among suburban or rural Democratic-leaning voters remain the primary factors that could narrow this margin before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,012 Vol.
$28,012 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$28,012 Vol.
$28,012 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$22,456 Vol.
92%
民主党
$5,555 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The March 2026 retirement announcement by longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders ahead of the August 4 vote and leaving Democratic options comparatively underdeveloped. Cook Political Report and similar forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus that places the GOP at 91.5 percent implied probability. A late Republican primary upset producing a controversial nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among suburban or rural Democratic-leaning voters remain the primary factors that could narrow this margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$28,012終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The March 2026 retirement announcement by longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders ahead of the August 4 vote and leaving Democratic options comparatively underdeveloped. Cook Political Report and similar forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus that places the GOP at 91.5 percent implied probability. A late Republican primary upset producing a controversial nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among suburban or rural Democratic-leaning voters remain the primary factors that could narrow this margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,012終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The March 2026 retirement announcement by longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders ahead of the August 4 vote and leaving Democratic options comparatively underdeveloped. Cook Political Report and similar forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus that places the GOP at 91.5 percent implied probability. A late Republican primary upset producing a controversial nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among suburban or rural Democratic-leaning voters remain the primary factors that could narrow this margin before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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