Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 77.5% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven primarily by the April 21, 2026, special election referendum on a Democratic-proposed constitutional amendment for congressional redistricting. If approved, the new map would redraw VA-06 into a more Democratic-leaning battleground, eroding incumbent Republican Ben Cline's structural advantages in the currently R+7 district. Recent catalysts include the Virginia Supreme Court's March decision staying a Republican-led injunction, clearing the referendum path after lawsuits from Cline and others; a circuit court ruling advancing the 10-1 Democratic map; and competitive Democratic primary field featuring Tom Perriello (leading internal polls at 37%), Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray. Primaries are August 4, with general election November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$31,897 Vol.
$31,897 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
78%
共和党
19%
$31,897 Vol.
$31,897 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$19,744 Vol.
78%
共和党
$12,153 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 77.5% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven primarily by the April 21, 2026, special election referendum on a Democratic-proposed constitutional amendment for congressional redistricting. If approved, the new map would redraw VA-06 into a more Democratic-leaning battleground, eroding incumbent Republican Ben Cline's structural advantages in the currently R+7 district. Recent catalysts include the Virginia Supreme Court's March decision staying a Republican-led injunction, clearing the referendum path after lawsuits from Cline and others; a circuit court ruling advancing the 10-1 Democratic map; and competitive Democratic primary field featuring Tom Perriello (leading internal polls at 37%), Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray. Primaries are August 4, with general election November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$31,897終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 77.5% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven primarily by the April 21, 2026, special election referendum on a Democratic-proposed constitutional amendment for congressional redistricting. If approved, the new map would redraw VA-06 into a more Democratic-leaning battleground, eroding incumbent Republican Ben Cline's structural advantages in the currently R+7 district. Recent catalysts include the Virginia Supreme Court's March decision staying a Republican-led injunction, clearing the referendum path after lawsuits from Cline and others; a circuit court ruling advancing the 10-1 Democratic map; and competitive Democratic primary field featuring Tom Perriello (leading internal polls at 37%), Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray. Primaries are August 4, with general election November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,897終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 77.5% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven primarily by the April 21, 2026, special election referendum on a Democratic-proposed constitutional amendment for congressional redistricting. If approved, the new map would redraw VA-06 into a more Democratic-leaning battleground, eroding incumbent Republican Ben Cline's structural advantages in the currently R+7 district. Recent catalysts include the Virginia Supreme Court's March decision staying a Republican-led injunction, clearing the referendum path after lawsuits from Cline and others; a circuit court ruling advancing the 10-1 Democratic map; and competitive Democratic primary field featuring Tom Perriello (leading internal polls at 37%), Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray. Primaries are August 4, with general election November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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