Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 66.5% to win Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by an ongoing redistricting battle culminating in a statewide constitutional amendment vote on April 21, 2026. If approved, the Democratic-controlled General Assembly could redraw maps to include Democratic strongholds like Albemarle County and Charlottesville in VA-06—currently rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report based on incumbent Ben Cline's 26-point 2024 victory—potentially flipping the district. Recent developments include Democrats' proposed 10-1 map released in early February and heated debates through March, alongside strong challenger recruitment such as former Rep. Tom Perriello, author Beth Macy, ex-Del. Wendy Gooditis, and Pete Barlow ahead of the August 4 primaries. National generic ballot trends showing Democratic leads further bolster optimism despite historical R+12 partisan lean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$29,046 Vol.
$29,046 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
67%
共和党
34%
$29,046 Vol.
$29,046 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$18,302 Vol.
67%
共和党
$10,744 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 66.5% to win Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by an ongoing redistricting battle culminating in a statewide constitutional amendment vote on April 21, 2026. If approved, the Democratic-controlled General Assembly could redraw maps to include Democratic strongholds like Albemarle County and Charlottesville in VA-06—currently rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report based on incumbent Ben Cline's 26-point 2024 victory—potentially flipping the district. Recent developments include Democrats' proposed 10-1 map released in early February and heated debates through March, alongside strong challenger recruitment such as former Rep. Tom Perriello, author Beth Macy, ex-Del. Wendy Gooditis, and Pete Barlow ahead of the August 4 primaries. National generic ballot trends showing Democratic leads further bolster optimism despite historical R+12 partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$29,046終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 66.5% to win Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by an ongoing redistricting battle culminating in a statewide constitutional amendment vote on April 21, 2026. If approved, the Democratic-controlled General Assembly could redraw maps to include Democratic strongholds like Albemarle County and Charlottesville in VA-06—currently rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report based on incumbent Ben Cline's 26-point 2024 victory—potentially flipping the district. Recent developments include Democrats' proposed 10-1 map released in early February and heated debates through March, alongside strong challenger recruitment such as former Rep. Tom Perriello, author Beth Macy, ex-Del. Wendy Gooditis, and Pete Barlow ahead of the August 4 primaries. National generic ballot trends showing Democratic leads further bolster optimism despite historical R+12 partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,046終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 66.5% to win Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by an ongoing redistricting battle culminating in a statewide constitutional amendment vote on April 21, 2026. If approved, the Democratic-controlled General Assembly could redraw maps to include Democratic strongholds like Albemarle County and Charlottesville in VA-06—currently rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report based on incumbent Ben Cline's 26-point 2024 victory—potentially flipping the district. Recent developments include Democrats' proposed 10-1 map released in early February and heated debates through March, alongside strong challenger recruitment such as former Rep. Tom Perriello, author Beth Macy, ex-Del. Wendy Gooditis, and Pete Barlow ahead of the August 4 primaries. National generic ballot trends showing Democratic leads further bolster optimism despite historical R+12 partisan lean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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