California's 39th congressional district features a substantial Democratic voter registration edge and consistent partisan leanings that underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, faces limited opposition in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have emerged since the June 2026 primary to alter this positioning. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include late developments such as health issues for the incumbent, significant national political realignments, or unexpected scandals, though historical patterns in similarly structured districts suggest these remain low-probability factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$38,985 Vol.
$38,985 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$38,985 Vol.
$38,985 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$26,643 Vol.
93%
共和党
$12,342 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 39th congressional district features a substantial Democratic voter registration edge and consistent partisan leanings that underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, faces limited opposition in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have emerged since the June 2026 primary to alter this positioning. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include late developments such as health issues for the incumbent, significant national political realignments, or unexpected scandals, though historical patterns in similarly structured districts suggest these remain low-probability factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$38,985終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 39th congressional district features a substantial Democratic voter registration edge and consistent partisan leanings that underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, faces limited opposition in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have emerged since the June 2026 primary to alter this positioning. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include late developments such as health issues for the incumbent, significant national political realignments, or unexpected scandals, though historical patterns in similarly structured districts suggest these remain low-probability factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$38,985終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 39th congressional district features a substantial Democratic voter registration edge and consistent partisan leanings that underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, faces limited opposition in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have emerged since the June 2026 primary to alter this positioning. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include late developments such as health issues for the incumbent, significant national political realignments, or unexpected scandals, though historical patterns in similarly structured districts suggest these remain low-probability factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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