Jimmy Patronis, the Republican incumbent who won a special election in Florida's 1st Congressional District by 15 points last year, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold in this R+18 district per Cook PVI, reflecting historical patterns where incumbents in safe seats secure reelection over 95% of the time. Patronis boasts superior fundraising with nearly $3 million raised, dwarfing primary challengers like Aaron Dimmock and Gene Valentino, while Democrat Gay Valimont, a repeat candidate who trailed badly before, faces long odds amid weak statewide Democratic midterm trends. Scenarios to shift odds include a contentious August 18 Republican primary upset, a major scandal hitting Patronis, or an unlikely national blue wave boosting turnout in this Panhandle stronghold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$76,868 Vol.
$76,868 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
6%
$76,868 Vol.
$76,868 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$62,160 Vol.
92%
民主党
$14,708 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jimmy Patronis, the Republican incumbent who won a special election in Florida's 1st Congressional District by 15 points last year, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold in this R+18 district per Cook PVI, reflecting historical patterns where incumbents in safe seats secure reelection over 95% of the time. Patronis boasts superior fundraising with nearly $3 million raised, dwarfing primary challengers like Aaron Dimmock and Gene Valentino, while Democrat Gay Valimont, a repeat candidate who trailed badly before, faces long odds amid weak statewide Democratic midterm trends. Scenarios to shift odds include a contentious August 18 Republican primary upset, a major scandal hitting Patronis, or an unlikely national blue wave boosting turnout in this Panhandle stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$76,868終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jimmy Patronis, the Republican incumbent who won a special election in Florida's 1st Congressional District by 15 points last year, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold in this R+18 district per Cook PVI, reflecting historical patterns where incumbents in safe seats secure reelection over 95% of the time. Patronis boasts superior fundraising with nearly $3 million raised, dwarfing primary challengers like Aaron Dimmock and Gene Valentino, while Democrat Gay Valimont, a repeat candidate who trailed badly before, faces long odds amid weak statewide Democratic midterm trends. Scenarios to shift odds include a contentious August 18 Republican primary upset, a major scandal hitting Patronis, or an unlikely national blue wave boosting turnout in this Panhandle stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$76,868終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jimmy Patronis, the Republican incumbent who won a special election in Florida's 1st Congressional District by 15 points last year, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold in this R+18 district per Cook PVI, reflecting historical patterns where incumbents in safe seats secure reelection over 95% of the time. Patronis boasts superior fundraising with nearly $3 million raised, dwarfing primary challengers like Aaron Dimmock and Gene Valentino, while Democrat Gay Valimont, a repeat candidate who trailed badly before, faces long odds amid weak statewide Democratic midterm trends. Scenarios to shift odds include a contentious August 18 Republican primary upset, a major scandal hitting Patronis, or an unlikely national blue wave boosting turnout in this Panhandle stronghold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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