Incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis commands trader consensus at 92% implied probability to retain Florida's 1st Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Patronis's decisive 15-point special election victory in April 2025, bolstered by $3 million in fundraising through late March 2026—dwarfing Democrat Gay Valimont's $37,000—solidifies his position amid a crowded Republican primary on August 18. Valimont, who lost the special despite overperforming past Democratic margins, leads a weak opposing field. Upsets could stem from a primary defeat for Patronis, personal scandal, health issues, or an extraordinary national anti-Republican wave before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$108,792 Vol.
$108,792 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
3%
$108,792 Vol.
$108,792 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$85,394 Vol.
92%
民主党
$23,397 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis commands trader consensus at 92% implied probability to retain Florida's 1st Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Patronis's decisive 15-point special election victory in April 2025, bolstered by $3 million in fundraising through late March 2026—dwarfing Democrat Gay Valimont's $37,000—solidifies his position amid a crowded Republican primary on August 18. Valimont, who lost the special despite overperforming past Democratic margins, leads a weak opposing field. Upsets could stem from a primary defeat for Patronis, personal scandal, health issues, or an extraordinary national anti-Republican wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$108,792終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis commands trader consensus at 92% implied probability to retain Florida's 1st Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Patronis's decisive 15-point special election victory in April 2025, bolstered by $3 million in fundraising through late March 2026—dwarfing Democrat Gay Valimont's $37,000—solidifies his position amid a crowded Republican primary on August 18. Valimont, who lost the special despite overperforming past Democratic margins, leads a weak opposing field. Upsets could stem from a primary defeat for Patronis, personal scandal, health issues, or an extraordinary national anti-Republican wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$108,792終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis commands trader consensus at 92% implied probability to retain Florida's 1st Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Patronis's decisive 15-point special election victory in April 2025, bolstered by $3 million in fundraising through late March 2026—dwarfing Democrat Gay Valimont's $37,000—solidifies his position amid a crowded Republican primary on August 18. Valimont, who lost the special despite overperforming past Democratic margins, leads a weak opposing field. Upsets could stem from a primary defeat for Patronis, personal scandal, health issues, or an extraordinary national anti-Republican wave before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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