Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's strong reelection bid in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for the GOP hold. Burlison won his 2024 general election by 71.6% against Democrat Missi Hesketh, who is again the sole declared Democratic primary contender with minimal fundraising ($10,508 cash on hand versus Burlison's $830,683). The district's southwest Missouri base, including Springfield, has delivered 66-72% Republican margins in recent cycles amid no notable polling or upsets. GOP primary challengers John Casey and Grayson Hunt pose negligible threats ahead of the August 4 primaries. Scenarios shifting odds include a Burlison scandal, retirement, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics favoring Democrats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
92%
民主党
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's strong reelection bid in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for the GOP hold. Burlison won his 2024 general election by 71.6% against Democrat Missi Hesketh, who is again the sole declared Democratic primary contender with minimal fundraising ($10,508 cash on hand versus Burlison's $830,683). The district's southwest Missouri base, including Springfield, has delivered 66-72% Republican margins in recent cycles amid no notable polling or upsets. GOP primary challengers John Casey and Grayson Hunt pose negligible threats ahead of the August 4 primaries. Scenarios shifting odds include a Burlison scandal, retirement, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's strong reelection bid in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for the GOP hold. Burlison won his 2024 general election by 71.6% against Democrat Missi Hesketh, who is again the sole declared Democratic primary contender with minimal fundraising ($10,508 cash on hand versus Burlison's $830,683). The district's southwest Missouri base, including Springfield, has delivered 66-72% Republican margins in recent cycles amid no notable polling or upsets. GOP primary challengers John Casey and Grayson Hunt pose negligible threats ahead of the August 4 primaries. Scenarios shifting odds include a Burlison scandal, retirement, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's strong reelection bid in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for the GOP hold. Burlison won his 2024 general election by 71.6% against Democrat Missi Hesketh, who is again the sole declared Democratic primary contender with minimal fundraising ($10,508 cash on hand versus Burlison's $830,683). The district's southwest Missouri base, including Springfield, has delivered 66-72% Republican margins in recent cycles amid no notable polling or upsets. GOP primary challengers John Casey and Grayson Hunt pose negligible threats ahead of the August 4 primaries. Scenarios shifting odds include a Burlison scandal, retirement, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics favoring Democrats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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