Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Burlison secured 72% in his 2024 reelection against the same Democratic primary contender, former mayor Missi Hesketh, underscoring weak opposition in this southwest Missouri stronghold encompassing Springfield and Branson. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine constituent services, with the August 4 primaries unlikely to yield a stronger GOP nominee given minimal primary challengers like John Casey. Scenarios to challenge this include a Burlison scandal, unexpected primary upset, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,348 Vol.
$14,348 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$14,348 Vol.
$14,348 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$12,178 Vol.
92%
民主党
$2,169 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Burlison secured 72% in his 2024 reelection against the same Democratic primary contender, former mayor Missi Hesketh, underscoring weak opposition in this southwest Missouri stronghold encompassing Springfield and Branson. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine constituent services, with the August 4 primaries unlikely to yield a stronger GOP nominee given minimal primary challengers like John Casey. Scenarios to challenge this include a Burlison scandal, unexpected primary upset, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$14,348終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Burlison secured 72% in his 2024 reelection against the same Democratic primary contender, former mayor Missi Hesketh, underscoring weak opposition in this southwest Missouri stronghold encompassing Springfield and Branson. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine constituent services, with the August 4 primaries unlikely to yield a stronger GOP nominee given minimal primary challengers like John Casey. Scenarios to challenge this include a Burlison scandal, unexpected primary upset, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,348終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Burlison secured 72% in his 2024 reelection against the same Democratic primary contender, former mayor Missi Hesketh, underscoring weak opposition in this southwest Missouri stronghold encompassing Springfield and Branson. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine constituent services, with the August 4 primaries unlikely to yield a stronger GOP nominee given minimal primary challengers like John Casey. Scenarios to challenge this include a Burlison scandal, unexpected primary upset, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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