Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary for Ohio's 1st congressional district, bolstering his position ahead of the November general election. The 2025 redistricting added rural counties that would have supported Republican presidential candidates, shifting the seat's underlying partisan balance closer to even and prompting some forecasters to rate it a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders currently assign the Democratic nominee a 69.5 percent implied probability, reflecting Landsman's incumbency advantages, established fundraising, and performance in a district with mixed urban and suburban voting patterns. Key variables that could alter the outlook include Republican challenger recruitment and any shifts in national midterm dynamics over the coming months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
71%
共和党
23%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$803 Vol.
71%
共和党
$1,247 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary for Ohio's 1st congressional district, bolstering his position ahead of the November general election. The 2025 redistricting added rural counties that would have supported Republican presidential candidates, shifting the seat's underlying partisan balance closer to even and prompting some forecasters to rate it a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders currently assign the Democratic nominee a 69.5 percent implied probability, reflecting Landsman's incumbency advantages, established fundraising, and performance in a district with mixed urban and suburban voting patterns. Key variables that could alter the outlook include Republican challenger recruitment and any shifts in national midterm dynamics over the coming months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$2,050終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary for Ohio's 1st congressional district, bolstering his position ahead of the November general election. The 2025 redistricting added rural counties that would have supported Republican presidential candidates, shifting the seat's underlying partisan balance closer to even and prompting some forecasters to rate it a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders currently assign the Democratic nominee a 69.5 percent implied probability, reflecting Landsman's incumbency advantages, established fundraising, and performance in a district with mixed urban and suburban voting patterns. Key variables that could alter the outlook include Republican challenger recruitment and any shifts in national midterm dynamics over the coming months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,050終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary for Ohio's 1st congressional district, bolstering his position ahead of the November general election. The 2025 redistricting added rural counties that would have supported Republican presidential candidates, shifting the seat's underlying partisan balance closer to even and prompting some forecasters to rate it a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders currently assign the Democratic nominee a 69.5 percent implied probability, reflecting Landsman's incumbency advantages, established fundraising, and performance in a district with mixed urban and suburban voting patterns. Key variables that could alter the outlook include Republican challenger recruitment and any shifts in national midterm dynamics over the coming months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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