Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 70% implied probability in the OH-01 House race, driven by incumbent Greg Landsman's consistent polling leads and fundraising dominance over Republican challenger Orlando Sonza. A recent Emerson College poll showed Landsman ahead 49%-42% among likely voters, while he maintains over $3 million cash on hand versus Sonza's under $600,000, enabling superior ad spending in the Cincinnati-area district rated R+3. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Landsman's 2022 special and general election wins provide incumbency edge amid Ohio's early voting underway since last week. National Republican headwinds and the November 5 election loom as potential swing factors in this battleground contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
72%
共和党
31%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
72%
共和党
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 70% implied probability in the OH-01 House race, driven by incumbent Greg Landsman's consistent polling leads and fundraising dominance over Republican challenger Orlando Sonza. A recent Emerson College poll showed Landsman ahead 49%-42% among likely voters, while he maintains over $3 million cash on hand versus Sonza's under $600,000, enabling superior ad spending in the Cincinnati-area district rated R+3. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Landsman's 2022 special and general election wins provide incumbency edge amid Ohio's early voting underway since last week. National Republican headwinds and the November 5 election loom as potential swing factors in this battleground contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 70% implied probability in the OH-01 House race, driven by incumbent Greg Landsman's consistent polling leads and fundraising dominance over Republican challenger Orlando Sonza. A recent Emerson College poll showed Landsman ahead 49%-42% among likely voters, while he maintains over $3 million cash on hand versus Sonza's under $600,000, enabling superior ad spending in the Cincinnati-area district rated R+3. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Landsman's 2022 special and general election wins provide incumbency edge amid Ohio's early voting underway since last week. National Republican headwinds and the November 5 election loom as potential swing factors in this battleground contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 70% implied probability in the OH-01 House race, driven by incumbent Greg Landsman's consistent polling leads and fundraising dominance over Republican challenger Orlando Sonza. A recent Emerson College poll showed Landsman ahead 49%-42% among likely voters, while he maintains over $3 million cash on hand versus Sonza's under $600,000, enabling superior ad spending in the Cincinnati-area district rated R+3. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Landsman's 2022 special and general election wins provide incumbency edge amid Ohio's early voting underway since last week. National Republican headwinds and the November 5 election loom as potential swing factors in this battleground contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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