Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 primary in California's 25th congressional district, securing roughly 58-61% of the vote against multiple Republican challengers. The district's structural Democratic tilt, Ruiz's established incumbency since 2013, and consistent prior general election margins above 56% underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 90.5%. Fundraising reports showed Ruiz leading his nearest opponent by a wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include a broad national political shift favoring Republicans in the November 2026 midterms, a significant personal or legal issue involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,807 Vol.
91%
共和党
$670 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 primary in California's 25th congressional district, securing roughly 58-61% of the vote against multiple Republican challengers. The district's structural Democratic tilt, Ruiz's established incumbency since 2013, and consistent prior general election margins above 56% underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 90.5%. Fundraising reports showed Ruiz leading his nearest opponent by a wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include a broad national political shift favoring Republicans in the November 2026 midterms, a significant personal or legal issue involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$3,478終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 primary in California's 25th congressional district, securing roughly 58-61% of the vote against multiple Republican challengers. The district's structural Democratic tilt, Ruiz's established incumbency since 2013, and consistent prior general election margins above 56% underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 90.5%. Fundraising reports showed Ruiz leading his nearest opponent by a wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include a broad national political shift favoring Republicans in the November 2026 midterms, a significant personal or legal issue involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,478終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 primary in California's 25th congressional district, securing roughly 58-61% of the vote against multiple Republican challengers. The district's structural Democratic tilt, Ruiz's established incumbency since 2013, and consistent prior general election margins above 56% underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 90.5%. Fundraising reports showed Ruiz leading his nearest opponent by a wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include a broad national political shift favoring Republicans in the November 2026 midterms, a significant personal or legal issue involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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