The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent historical voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nanette Barragán advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Genevieve Angel, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited recent developments, including stable statewide polling trends and the absence of competitive challengers or major controversies, reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, a significant late-cycle scandal affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift altering voter priorities in this urban Los Angeles-area seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,145 Vol.
$23,145 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$23,145 Vol.
$23,145 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,909 Vol.
94%
共和党
$8,236 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent historical voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nanette Barragán advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Genevieve Angel, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited recent developments, including stable statewide polling trends and the absence of competitive challengers or major controversies, reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, a significant late-cycle scandal affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift altering voter priorities in this urban Los Angeles-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$23,145終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent historical voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nanette Barragán advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Genevieve Angel, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited recent developments, including stable statewide polling trends and the absence of competitive challengers or major controversies, reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, a significant late-cycle scandal affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift altering voter priorities in this urban Los Angeles-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,145終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent historical voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nanette Barragán advanced through the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Genevieve Angel, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited recent developments, including stable statewide polling trends and the absence of competitive challengers or major controversies, reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, a significant late-cycle scandal affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift altering voter priorities in this urban Los Angeles-area seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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