California's 6th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean driven by voter registration patterns favoring Democrats by double digits and consistent historical election results in the Sacramento-area seat. Multiple Democratic candidates competed in the June 2026 top-two primary, increasing the likelihood that at least one advances to the general election against limited Republican or independent opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic based on these structural factors and turnout patterns that typically benefit Democratic voters in later ballot counts. The market's implied probability reflects this established partisan advantage, though an unexpected primary outcome sending two non-Democrats to November could still shift the result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,768 Vol.
$31,768 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$31,768 Vol.
$31,768 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,101 Vol.
96%
共和党
$20,667 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean driven by voter registration patterns favoring Democrats by double digits and consistent historical election results in the Sacramento-area seat. Multiple Democratic candidates competed in the June 2026 top-two primary, increasing the likelihood that at least one advances to the general election against limited Republican or independent opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic based on these structural factors and turnout patterns that typically benefit Democratic voters in later ballot counts. The market's implied probability reflects this established partisan advantage, though an unexpected primary outcome sending two non-Democrats to November could still shift the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$31,768終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean driven by voter registration patterns favoring Democrats by double digits and consistent historical election results in the Sacramento-area seat. Multiple Democratic candidates competed in the June 2026 top-two primary, increasing the likelihood that at least one advances to the general election against limited Republican or independent opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic based on these structural factors and turnout patterns that typically benefit Democratic voters in later ballot counts. The market's implied probability reflects this established partisan advantage, though an unexpected primary outcome sending two non-Democrats to November could still shift the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,768終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean driven by voter registration patterns favoring Democrats by double digits and consistent historical election results in the Sacramento-area seat. Multiple Democratic candidates competed in the June 2026 top-two primary, increasing the likelihood that at least one advances to the general election against limited Republican or independent opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic based on these structural factors and turnout patterns that typically benefit Democratic voters in later ballot counts. The market's implied probability reflects this established partisan advantage, though an unexpected primary outcome sending two non-Democrats to November could still shift the result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問