The Sacramento-area district's Democratic voter registration edge and safe partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, underpin the party's commanding position heading into the November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates competed in the June 2 top-two primary alongside independent Kevin Kiley and Republican Michael Stansfield, with late-counted ballots expected to clarify advancement. Historical patterns in similar California seats and the absence of major Republican structural advantages sustain trader consensus on the outcome. Scenarios that could realistically alter results include an independent or Republican consolidation in the general election or significant shifts in turnout among key suburban blocs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,768 Vol.
$31,768 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$31,768 Vol.
$31,768 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,101 Vol.
95%
共和党
$20,667 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Sacramento-area district's Democratic voter registration edge and safe partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, underpin the party's commanding position heading into the November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates competed in the June 2 top-two primary alongside independent Kevin Kiley and Republican Michael Stansfield, with late-counted ballots expected to clarify advancement. Historical patterns in similar California seats and the absence of major Republican structural advantages sustain trader consensus on the outcome. Scenarios that could realistically alter results include an independent or Republican consolidation in the general election or significant shifts in turnout among key suburban blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$31,768終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Sacramento-area district's Democratic voter registration edge and safe partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, underpin the party's commanding position heading into the November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates competed in the June 2 top-two primary alongside independent Kevin Kiley and Republican Michael Stansfield, with late-counted ballots expected to clarify advancement. Historical patterns in similar California seats and the absence of major Republican structural advantages sustain trader consensus on the outcome. Scenarios that could realistically alter results include an independent or Republican consolidation in the general election or significant shifts in turnout among key suburban blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,768終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Sacramento-area district's Democratic voter registration edge and safe partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, underpin the party's commanding position heading into the November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates competed in the June 2 top-two primary alongside independent Kevin Kiley and Republican Michael Stansfield, with late-counted ballots expected to clarify advancement. Historical patterns in similar California seats and the absence of major Republican structural advantages sustain trader consensus on the outcome. Scenarios that could realistically alter results include an independent or Republican consolidation in the general election or significant shifts in turnout among key suburban blocs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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