The open seat in Texas's 22nd congressional district, following Republican incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement, remains firmly positioned in the Republican column according to trader consensus. Recent primaries on March 3, 2026, delivered clear nominees, with Trever Nehls securing the Republican nod by a wide margin and Marquette Greene-Scott advancing for Democrats. The district's partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results, where the Republican ticket exceeded 59 percent, underscore its structural advantages amid Texas's post-redistricting map that preserved GOP strength in suburban Houston areas. With no major late developments altering the balance ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, market pricing aligns with established forecaster ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, though general-election dynamics could still introduce modest shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,280 Vol.
87%
民主党
$2,092 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas's 22nd congressional district, following Republican incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement, remains firmly positioned in the Republican column according to trader consensus. Recent primaries on March 3, 2026, delivered clear nominees, with Trever Nehls securing the Republican nod by a wide margin and Marquette Greene-Scott advancing for Democrats. The district's partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results, where the Republican ticket exceeded 59 percent, underscore its structural advantages amid Texas's post-redistricting map that preserved GOP strength in suburban Houston areas. With no major late developments altering the balance ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, market pricing aligns with established forecaster ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, though general-election dynamics could still introduce modest shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$3,373終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas's 22nd congressional district, following Republican incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement, remains firmly positioned in the Republican column according to trader consensus. Recent primaries on March 3, 2026, delivered clear nominees, with Trever Nehls securing the Republican nod by a wide margin and Marquette Greene-Scott advancing for Democrats. The district's partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results, where the Republican ticket exceeded 59 percent, underscore its structural advantages amid Texas's post-redistricting map that preserved GOP strength in suburban Houston areas. With no major late developments altering the balance ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, market pricing aligns with established forecaster ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, though general-election dynamics could still introduce modest shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,373終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Texas's 22nd congressional district, following Republican incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement, remains firmly positioned in the Republican column according to trader consensus. Recent primaries on March 3, 2026, delivered clear nominees, with Trever Nehls securing the Republican nod by a wide margin and Marquette Greene-Scott advancing for Democrats. The district's partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results, where the Republican ticket exceeded 59 percent, underscore its structural advantages amid Texas's post-redistricting map that preserved GOP strength in suburban Houston areas. With no major late developments altering the balance ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, market pricing aligns with established forecaster ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, though general-election dynamics could still introduce modest shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問