Colorado’s 1st congressional district, anchored in Denver and surrounding suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, with the incumbent securing more than 76 percent of the general-election vote in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting durable partisan registration advantages and limited Republican organizational presence. The June 30 primary will decide the Democratic nominee among the sitting representative and two challengers, after which the general-election contest on November 3 faces only a single Republican candidate. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 92.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s structural tilt and historical results. A Democratic nominee would need to overcome an unforeseen scandal or an unusually large national Republican wave to lose the seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,709 Vol.
$12,709 Vol.
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$12,709 Vol.
$12,709 Vol.
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado’s 1st congressional district, anchored in Denver and surrounding suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, with the incumbent securing more than 76 percent of the general-election vote in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting durable partisan registration advantages and limited Republican organizational presence. The June 30 primary will decide the Democratic nominee among the sitting representative and two challengers, after which the general-election contest on November 3 faces only a single Republican candidate. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 92.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s structural tilt and historical results. A Democratic nominee would need to overcome an unforeseen scandal or an unusually large national Republican wave to lose the seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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