New York's 6th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent analyst ratings of Solid Democratic for the 2026 general election. Incumbent Grace Meng, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 60 percent in 2024, holds structural advantages including name recognition and fundraising that underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. The June 23 Democratic primary between Meng and challenger Chuck Park represents the primary near-term contest before the November 3 general election. A Republican path would require overcoming the district's urban Queens demographics and historical voting patterns, though shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics remain possible variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,305 Vol.
93%
共和党
$3,259 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 6th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent analyst ratings of Solid Democratic for the 2026 general election. Incumbent Grace Meng, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 60 percent in 2024, holds structural advantages including name recognition and fundraising that underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. The June 23 Democratic primary between Meng and challenger Chuck Park represents the primary near-term contest before the November 3 general election. A Republican path would require overcoming the district's urban Queens demographics and historical voting patterns, though shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics remain possible variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$7,564終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 6th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent analyst ratings of Solid Democratic for the 2026 general election. Incumbent Grace Meng, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 60 percent in 2024, holds structural advantages including name recognition and fundraising that underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. The June 23 Democratic primary between Meng and challenger Chuck Park represents the primary near-term contest before the November 3 general election. A Republican path would require overcoming the district's urban Queens demographics and historical voting patterns, though shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics remain possible variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,564終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 6th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent analyst ratings of Solid Democratic for the 2026 general election. Incumbent Grace Meng, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 60 percent in 2024, holds structural advantages including name recognition and fundraising that underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. The June 23 Democratic primary between Meng and challenger Chuck Park represents the primary near-term contest before the November 3 general election. A Republican path would require overcoming the district's urban Queens demographics and historical voting patterns, though shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics remain possible variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問