Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 99.6% Republican consensus on prediction markets. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican margins in recent presidential and congressional voting, and Smucker’s established incumbency and fundraising edge create substantial structural barriers for Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion. Primaries concluded in May with both candidates advancing unopposed in their respective contests. Trader pricing aligns with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though such factors remain low-probability given current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,532 Vol.
$25,532 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
99%
民主党
1%
$25,532 Vol.
$25,532 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$15,549 Vol.
99%
民主党
$9,984 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 99.6% Republican consensus on prediction markets. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican margins in recent presidential and congressional voting, and Smucker’s established incumbency and fundraising edge create substantial structural barriers for Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion. Primaries concluded in May with both candidates advancing unopposed in their respective contests. Trader pricing aligns with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though such factors remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$25,532終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 99.6% Republican consensus on prediction markets. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican margins in recent presidential and congressional voting, and Smucker’s established incumbency and fundraising edge create substantial structural barriers for Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion. Primaries concluded in May with both candidates advancing unopposed in their respective contests. Trader pricing aligns with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though such factors remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,532終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 99.6% Republican consensus on prediction markets. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican margins in recent presidential and congressional voting, and Smucker’s established incumbency and fundraising edge create substantial structural barriers for Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion. Primaries concluded in May with both candidates advancing unopposed in their respective contests. Trader pricing aligns with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though such factors remain low-probability given current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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