Tukaka George Tamarua Ama, the incumbent Cook Islands Party MP for Ngatangiia, holds a commanding position ahead of the 12 August 2026 general election because he enters the race with an established record of constituency service and party infrastructure support on Rarotonga. Recent campaign activity has centered on local infrastructure and practical improvements, reinforcing his visibility among voters while cost-of-living concerns dominate the broader contest. The three opposing candidates—Mapi Ioteva of the Cook Islands United Party, Itinga Maoate of the Democratic Party, and Christopher Robert Denny of the Progressive Party—face limited name recognition and party resources in a single-member electorate where incumbency historically provides a measurable edge. With nominations closed and rolls finalized, traders have aligned on Ama’s reelection prospects, viewing late shifts as unlikely absent major unforeseen developments in the final days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日トゥカカ・ジョージ・タマルア・アマ 85.1%
マピ・イオテヴァ 6.9%
イティンガ・マオアテ 5.2%
クリストファー・ロバート・デニー 4.5%
$25,896 Vol.
$25,896 Vol.
トゥカカ・ジョージ・タマルア・アマ
85%
マピ・イオテヴァ
7%
イティンガ・マオアテ
5%
クリストファー・ロバート・デニー
5%
トゥカカ・ジョージ・タマルア・アマ 85.1%
マピ・イオテヴァ 6.9%
イティンガ・マオアテ 5.2%
クリストファー・ロバート・デニー 4.5%
$25,896 Vol.
$25,896 Vol.
トゥカカ・ジョージ・タマルア・アマ
85%
マピ・イオテヴァ
7%
イティンガ・マオアテ
5%
クリストファー・ロバート・デニー
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
マーケット開始日： Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tukaka George Tamarua Ama, the incumbent Cook Islands Party MP for Ngatangiia, holds a commanding position ahead of the 12 August 2026 general election because he enters the race with an established record of constituency service and party infrastructure support on Rarotonga. Recent campaign activity has centered on local infrastructure and practical improvements, reinforcing his visibility among voters while cost-of-living concerns dominate the broader contest. The three opposing candidates—Mapi Ioteva of the Cook Islands United Party, Itinga Maoate of the Democratic Party, and Christopher Robert Denny of the Progressive Party—face limited name recognition and party resources in a single-member electorate where incumbency historically provides a measurable edge. With nominations closed and rolls finalized, traders have aligned on Ama’s reelection prospects, viewing late shifts as unlikely absent major unforeseen developments in the final days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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