New Democracy maintains a commanding lead in Greek opinion polls ahead of the next parliamentary election due in 2027, supported by its status as the incumbent centre-right party and the persistent fragmentation of opposition forces including ELAS, PASOK-KINAL, and smaller groups. Recent polling averages show ND holding steady near 30 percent while challengers remain divided well below that threshold, reducing the likelihood of any single rival securing enough seats to form a government under Greece’s reinforced proportionality system. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.5 percent price for an ND victory incorporates this structural advantage, though shifts could occur from successful opposition consolidation, major policy setbacks, or unexpected economic developments before the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ND 91%
ELAS 2.9%
SYRIZA <1%
PASOK-KINAL <1%
$15,674 Vol.
$15,674 Vol.

ND
91%

ELAS
3%

SYRIZA
1%

PASOK-KINAL
<1%

NIKI
<1%

KKE
<1%

EL
<1%

PE
<1%

ELPIDA
<1%
ND 91%
ELAS 2.9%
SYRIZA <1%
PASOK-KINAL <1%
$15,674 Vol.
$15,674 Vol.

ND
91%

ELAS
3%

SYRIZA
1%

PASOK-KINAL
<1%

NIKI
<1%

KKE
<1%

EL
<1%

PE
<1%

ELPIDA
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Greek government.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日: Jul 14, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Greek government.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New Democracy maintains a commanding lead in Greek opinion polls ahead of the next parliamentary election due in 2027, supported by its status as the incumbent centre-right party and the persistent fragmentation of opposition forces including ELAS, PASOK-KINAL, and smaller groups. Recent polling averages show ND holding steady near 30 percent while challengers remain divided well below that threshold, reducing the likelihood of any single rival securing enough seats to form a government under Greece’s reinforced proportionality system. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.5 percent price for an ND victory incorporates this structural advantage, though shifts could occur from successful opposition consolidation, major policy setbacks, or unexpected economic developments before the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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