Mark Brown holds a commanding position as the likely next Prime Minister ahead of the Cook Islands general election scheduled for 12 August 2026. As caretaker leader of the Cook Islands Party, he benefits from recent polling showing him as the preferred prime minister at 35.2 percent—well ahead of United Party leader Teariki Heather at 19 percent and Democratic Party leader Tina Pupuke-Browne at 5.7 percent—with many voters still undecided. Brown’s incumbency since 2020, recent diplomatic engagements including a defence and security declaration with New Zealand, and the party’s seat advantage in the outgoing parliament underpin trader consensus reflected in the high implied probability. Opposition figures face structural challenges from fragmented support and independent candidates, while the election outcome will determine coalition formation and parliamentary majority under the territory’s Westminster-style system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マーク・ブラウン 89%
ティアリキ・ヘザー 7.7%
ティナ・ブラウン 4.3%
$30,625 Vol.
$30,625 Vol.
2026/08/12
マーク・ブラウン
89%
ティアリキ・ヘザー
8%
ティナ・ブラウン
4%
マーク・ブラウン 89%
ティアリキ・ヘザー 7.7%
ティナ・ブラウン 4.3%
$30,625 Vol.
$30,625 Vol.
2026/08/12
マーク・ブラウン
$22,764 Vol.
89%
ティアリキ・ヘザー
$2,373 Vol.
8%
ティナ・ブラウン
$5,489 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown holds a commanding position as the likely next Prime Minister ahead of the Cook Islands general election scheduled for 12 August 2026. As caretaker leader of the Cook Islands Party, he benefits from recent polling showing him as the preferred prime minister at 35.2 percent—well ahead of United Party leader Teariki Heather at 19 percent and Democratic Party leader Tina Pupuke-Browne at 5.7 percent—with many voters still undecided. Brown’s incumbency since 2020, recent diplomatic engagements including a defence and security declaration with New Zealand, and the party’s seat advantage in the outgoing parliament underpin trader consensus reflected in the high implied probability. Opposition figures face structural challenges from fragmented support and independent candidates, while the election outcome will determine coalition formation and parliamentary majority under the territory’s Westminster-style system.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET
音量
$30,625終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown holds a commanding position as the likely next Prime Minister ahead of the Cook Islands general election scheduled for 12 August 2026. As caretaker leader of the Cook Islands Party, he benefits from recent polling showing him as the preferred prime minister at 35.2 percent—well ahead of United Party leader Teariki Heather at 19 percent and Democratic Party leader Tina Pupuke-Browne at 5.7 percent—with many voters still undecided. Brown’s incumbency since 2020, recent diplomatic engagements including a defence and security declaration with New Zealand, and the party’s seat advantage in the outgoing parliament underpin trader consensus reflected in the high implied probability. Opposition figures face structural challenges from fragmented support and independent candidates, while the election outcome will determine coalition formation and parliamentary majority under the territory’s Westminster-style system.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$30,625終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mark Brown holds a commanding position as the likely next Prime Minister ahead of the Cook Islands general election scheduled for 12 August 2026. As caretaker leader of the Cook Islands Party, he benefits from recent polling showing him as the preferred prime minister at 35.2 percent—well ahead of United Party leader Teariki Heather at 19 percent and Democratic Party leader Tina Pupuke-Browne at 5.7 percent—with many voters still undecided. Brown’s incumbency since 2020, recent diplomatic engagements including a defence and security declaration with New Zealand, and the party’s seat advantage in the outgoing parliament underpin trader consensus reflected in the high implied probability. Opposition figures face structural challenges from fragmented support and independent candidates, while the election outcome will determine coalition formation and parliamentary majority under the territory’s Westminster-style system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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