Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds at 85.5% implied probability to win Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, 2026, driven by President Trump's endorsement, dominant polling leads—including 46% in the April 2 Emerson College survey—and record Q1 2026 fundraising of $22.2 million, pushing his total past $67 million. These factors have solidified his frontrunner status in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis, outpacing rivals amid low undecideds in recent surveys. Challenger James Fishback garners 9.5% on social media buzz and affordability messaging as a fourth-generation Floridian, while Lt. Gov. Jay Collins trails at 3.1% despite his January entry and DeSantis-aligned positioning, hampered by weak fundraising. Late entrants or scandals could shift dynamics before early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日バイロン・ドナルズ 86%
ジェームズ・フィッシュバック 10%
ジェイ・コリンズ 3.1%
ケイシー・デサンティス <1%
$1,278,032 Vol.
$1,278,032 Vol.
バイロン・ドナルズ
86%
ジェームズ・フィッシュバック
10%
ジェイ・コリンズ
3%
ケイシー・デサンティス
<1%
ウィルトン・シンプソン
<1%
マット・ゲーツ
<1%
ジミー・パトロニス
<1%
バイロン・ドナルズ 86%
ジェームズ・フィッシュバック 10%
ジェイ・コリンズ 3.1%
ケイシー・デサンティス <1%
$1,278,032 Vol.
$1,278,032 Vol.
バイロン・ドナルズ
86%
ジェームズ・フィッシュバック
10%
ジェイ・コリンズ
3%
ケイシー・デサンティス
<1%
ウィルトン・シンプソン
<1%
マット・ゲーツ
<1%
ジミー・パトロニス
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds at 85.5% implied probability to win Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, 2026, driven by President Trump's endorsement, dominant polling leads—including 46% in the April 2 Emerson College survey—and record Q1 2026 fundraising of $22.2 million, pushing his total past $67 million. These factors have solidified his frontrunner status in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis, outpacing rivals amid low undecideds in recent surveys. Challenger James Fishback garners 9.5% on social media buzz and affordability messaging as a fourth-generation Floridian, while Lt. Gov. Jay Collins trails at 3.1% despite his January entry and DeSantis-aligned positioning, hampered by weak fundraising. Late entrants or scandals could shift dynamics before early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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