Longtime Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott anchors the VA-03 race in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean of roughly D+18. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and limited Republican recruitment or funding. Mid-decade redistricting approved by Virginia voters in April 2026 remains subject to court review, yet any adjustments are unlikely to alter the district’s core composition. A Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, precedes the general contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected scandal, health issue, or dramatic national partisan shift, though such developments remain low-probability given the structural and historical advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$20,076 Vol.
94%
共和党
$15,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott anchors the VA-03 race in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean of roughly D+18. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and limited Republican recruitment or funding. Mid-decade redistricting approved by Virginia voters in April 2026 remains subject to court review, yet any adjustments are unlikely to alter the district’s core composition. A Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, precedes the general contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected scandal, health issue, or dramatic national partisan shift, though such developments remain low-probability given the structural and historical advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$35,433終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott anchors the VA-03 race in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean of roughly D+18. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and limited Republican recruitment or funding. Mid-decade redistricting approved by Virginia voters in April 2026 remains subject to court review, yet any adjustments are unlikely to alter the district’s core composition. A Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, precedes the general contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected scandal, health issue, or dramatic national partisan shift, though such developments remain low-probability given the structural and historical advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,433終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott anchors the VA-03 race in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean of roughly D+18. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and limited Republican recruitment or funding. Mid-decade redistricting approved by Virginia voters in April 2026 remains subject to court review, yet any adjustments are unlikely to alter the district’s core composition. A Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, precedes the general contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected scandal, health issue, or dramatic national partisan shift, though such developments remain low-probability given the structural and historical advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問