Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won reelection with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican challengers have yet to emerge as credible threats in this urban Hampton Roads seat. Trader consensus around a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors, including long-standing voter registration advantages and limited recent polling shifts. A late scandal, unexpected redistricting change before November, or national political wave could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$20,076 Vol.
94%
共和党
$15,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won reelection with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican challengers have yet to emerge as credible threats in this urban Hampton Roads seat. Trader consensus around a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors, including long-standing voter registration advantages and limited recent polling shifts. A late scandal, unexpected redistricting change before November, or national political wave could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$35,433終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won reelection with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican challengers have yet to emerge as credible threats in this urban Hampton Roads seat. Trader consensus around a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors, including long-standing voter registration advantages and limited recent polling shifts. A late scandal, unexpected redistricting change before November, or national political wave could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,433終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won reelection with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican challengers have yet to emerge as credible threats in this urban Hampton Roads seat. Trader consensus around a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors, including long-standing voter registration advantages and limited recent polling shifts. A late scandal, unexpected redistricting change before November, or national political wave could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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