The strong Democratic lean of Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, combined with incumbent Troy Carter's established position and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and repeated wide margins in recent cycles. With qualifying for the November 3, 2026 primary still ahead and only a second Democratic candidate declared alongside Carter, no competitive Republican has surfaced to challenge the outcome. The December 12 runoff trigger if needed further reinforces the implied probability, as the district's voter base and lack of recent shifts or external catalysts have kept the race noncompetitive.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,944 Vol.
$41,944 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
88%
共和党
6%
$41,944 Vol.
$41,944 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$22,048 Vol.
88%
共和党
$19,896 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, combined with incumbent Troy Carter's established position and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and repeated wide margins in recent cycles. With qualifying for the November 3, 2026 primary still ahead and only a second Democratic candidate declared alongside Carter, no competitive Republican has surfaced to challenge the outcome. The December 12 runoff trigger if needed further reinforces the implied probability, as the district's voter base and lack of recent shifts or external catalysts have kept the race noncompetitive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$41,944終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, combined with incumbent Troy Carter's established position and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and repeated wide margins in recent cycles. With qualifying for the November 3, 2026 primary still ahead and only a second Democratic candidate declared alongside Carter, no competitive Republican has surfaced to challenge the outcome. The December 12 runoff trigger if needed further reinforces the implied probability, as the district's voter base and lack of recent shifts or external catalysts have kept the race noncompetitive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$41,944終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, combined with incumbent Troy Carter's established position and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and repeated wide margins in recent cycles. With qualifying for the November 3, 2026 primary still ahead and only a second Democratic candidate declared alongside Carter, no competitive Republican has surfaced to challenge the outcome. The December 12 runoff trigger if needed further reinforces the implied probability, as the district's voter base and lack of recent shifts or external catalysts have kept the race noncompetitive.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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