Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat under the new congressional map enacted May 29, 2026, which preserves it as the state’s sole majority-Black district while redrawing the other to favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces only fellow Democrat Renada Collins in the November 3, 2026 primary, with no viable Republican challengers filed ahead of the August deadline. Carter’s substantial fundraising advantage, institutional support, and the district’s consistent D+17 partisan voting index reinforce the structural edge. Trader consensus at 88% for the Democratic nominee reflects these entrenched factors, while the 7% Republican share accounts for the remote possibility of a general-election upset under Louisiana’s majority-vote system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,187 Vol.
$42,187 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
88%
共和党
6%
$42,187 Vol.
$42,187 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$22,054 Vol.
88%
共和党
$20,134 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat under the new congressional map enacted May 29, 2026, which preserves it as the state’s sole majority-Black district while redrawing the other to favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces only fellow Democrat Renada Collins in the November 3, 2026 primary, with no viable Republican challengers filed ahead of the August deadline. Carter’s substantial fundraising advantage, institutional support, and the district’s consistent D+17 partisan voting index reinforce the structural edge. Trader consensus at 88% for the Democratic nominee reflects these entrenched factors, while the 7% Republican share accounts for the remote possibility of a general-election upset under Louisiana’s majority-vote system.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$42,187終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat under the new congressional map enacted May 29, 2026, which preserves it as the state’s sole majority-Black district while redrawing the other to favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces only fellow Democrat Renada Collins in the November 3, 2026 primary, with no viable Republican challengers filed ahead of the August deadline. Carter’s substantial fundraising advantage, institutional support, and the district’s consistent D+17 partisan voting index reinforce the structural edge. Trader consensus at 88% for the Democratic nominee reflects these entrenched factors, while the 7% Republican share accounts for the remote possibility of a general-election upset under Louisiana’s majority-vote system.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,187終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat under the new congressional map enacted May 29, 2026, which preserves it as the state’s sole majority-Black district while redrawing the other to favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces only fellow Democrat Renada Collins in the November 3, 2026 primary, with no viable Republican challengers filed ahead of the August deadline. Carter’s substantial fundraising advantage, institutional support, and the district’s consistent D+17 partisan voting index reinforce the structural edge. Trader consensus at 88% for the Democratic nominee reflects these entrenched factors, while the 7% Republican share accounts for the remote possibility of a general-election upset under Louisiana’s majority-vote system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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