Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's decisive advance from the June 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district's consistent Democratic voter registration edge and recent general election margins exceeding 25 points, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The race is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and Correa's established incumbency advantages in Orange County areas such as Santa Ana and Anaheim. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant polling movement ahead of the November general could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,155 Vol.
$12,155 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$12,155 Vol.
$12,155 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,345 Vol.
94%
共和党
$8,811 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's decisive advance from the June 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district's consistent Democratic voter registration edge and recent general election margins exceeding 25 points, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The race is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and Correa's established incumbency advantages in Orange County areas such as Santa Ana and Anaheim. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant polling movement ahead of the November general could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$12,155終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's decisive advance from the June 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district's consistent Democratic voter registration edge and recent general election margins exceeding 25 points, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The race is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and Correa's established incumbency advantages in Orange County areas such as Santa Ana and Anaheim. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant polling movement ahead of the November general could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,155終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's decisive advance from the June 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district's consistent Democratic voter registration edge and recent general election margins exceeding 25 points, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The race is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and Correa's established incumbency advantages in Orange County areas such as Santa Ana and Anaheim. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant polling movement ahead of the November general could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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