Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,922 Vol.
$24,922 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$24,922 Vol.
$24,922 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,676 Vol.
93%
民主党
$18,246 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$24,922終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,922終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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