Recent polls have solidified trader consensus behind Republican Ryan Schmelz in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District House race, with an 85% implied probability on the Republican Party outcome. A TIPP poll from October 24-26 showed Schmelz leading incumbent Democrat Angie Craig 49%-46%, while AtlasIntel's October 21-23 survey had him ahead 48%-47%, yielding a RealClearPolling average of Schmelz +2.6 in this R+4 Cook partisan voting index district. The challenger's edge reflects consistent polling momentum over the past week amid national Republican gains, though the contest remains tight ahead of the November 5 election, where turnout in battleground suburbs or late endorsements could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
85%
民主党
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polls have solidified trader consensus behind Republican Ryan Schmelz in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District House race, with an 85% implied probability on the Republican Party outcome. A TIPP poll from October 24-26 showed Schmelz leading incumbent Democrat Angie Craig 49%-46%, while AtlasIntel's October 21-23 survey had him ahead 48%-47%, yielding a RealClearPolling average of Schmelz +2.6 in this R+4 Cook partisan voting index district. The challenger's edge reflects consistent polling momentum over the past week amid national Republican gains, though the contest remains tight ahead of the November 5 election, where turnout in battleground suburbs or late endorsements could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polls have solidified trader consensus behind Republican Ryan Schmelz in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District House race, with an 85% implied probability on the Republican Party outcome. A TIPP poll from October 24-26 showed Schmelz leading incumbent Democrat Angie Craig 49%-46%, while AtlasIntel's October 21-23 survey had him ahead 48%-47%, yielding a RealClearPolling average of Schmelz +2.6 in this R+4 Cook partisan voting index district. The challenger's edge reflects consistent polling momentum over the past week amid national Republican gains, though the contest remains tight ahead of the November 5 election, where turnout in battleground suburbs or late endorsements could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls have solidified trader consensus behind Republican Ryan Schmelz in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District House race, with an 85% implied probability on the Republican Party outcome. A TIPP poll from October 24-26 showed Schmelz leading incumbent Democrat Angie Craig 49%-46%, while AtlasIntel's October 21-23 survey had him ahead 48%-47%, yielding a RealClearPolling average of Schmelz +2.6 in this R+4 Cook partisan voting index district. The challenger's edge reflects consistent polling momentum over the past week amid national Republican gains, though the contest remains tight ahead of the November 5 election, where turnout in battleground suburbs or late endorsements could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問