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CA-16 Primary Winners

icon for CA-16 Primary Winners

CA-16 Primary Winners

$1,431 Vol.

2026/06/02
Polymarket

$1,431 Vol.

Polymarket

Sam Liccardo

$225 Vol.

99%

Jotham Stein

$270 Vol.

2%

Kevin Johnson

$836 Vol.

37%

Peter Sundin Soulé

$100 Vol.

50%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Sam Liccardo**, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, secured a decisive victory in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 16th congressional district, capturing roughly 75% of the vote and advancing comfortably to the November general election. Two Republican candidates split the remaining support, with Peter Soule and Kevin Johnson each receiving about 11% and 10%, respectively, while a no-party-preference candidate trailed far behind. The Silicon Valley-based district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and Cook Political Report ratings classifying it as solidly Democratic. With the primary concluded and results consistent across reporting, trader consensus on primary advancement outcomes aligns closely with the verified vote totals and certification timeline. No further scheduled events within the resolution window are expected to alter the primary results.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,431
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Sam Liccardo**, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, secured a decisive victory in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 16th congressional district, capturing roughly 75% of the vote and advancing comfortably to the November general election. Two Republican candidates split the remaining support, with Peter Soule and Kevin Johnson each receiving about 11% and 10%, respectively, while a no-party-preference candidate trailed far behind. The Silicon Valley-based district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and Cook Political Report ratings classifying it as solidly Democratic. With the primary concluded and results consistent across reporting, trader consensus on primary advancement outcomes aligns closely with the verified vote totals and certification timeline. No further scheduled events within the resolution window are expected to alter the primary results.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,431
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「CA-16 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Sam Liccardo」で99%、次いで「Peter Sundin Soulé」が51%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「CA-16 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 21, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「CA-16 Primary Winners」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA-16 Primary Winners」の現在のフロントランナーは「Sam Liccardo」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Peter Sundin Soulé」で51%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA-16 Primary Winners」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。