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icon for CA-14 Primary Winners
選挙·June 2 Primaries

CA-14 Primary Winners

icon for CA-14 Primary Winners
選挙·June 2 Primaries

CA-14 Primary Winners

$5,118 Vol.

2026/06/02
Polymarket

$5,118 Vol.

Polymarket

Aisha Wahab

$612 Vol.

99%

Melissa Hernandez

$528 Vol.

99%

Suzanne Chenault

$140 Vol.

3%

Carin Elam

$192 Vol.

2%

Matt Ortega

$837 Vol.

2%

Wendy Huang

$1,090 Vol.

2%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$200 Vol.

1%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$1,520 Vol.

<1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Aisha Wahab, the endorsed Democratic state senator, holds dominant trader consensus in the CA-14 special primary market ahead of the June 16 top-two contest to fill the East Bay seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. Her position stems from early party support, established fundraising, and name recognition in a district with heavy Democratic registration across Hayward, Fremont, Livermore, and surrounding areas. Other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez and Rakhi Israni Singh trail with limited visibility, while Republican candidates such as Wendy Huang face structural disadvantages in the nonpartisan primary. With voting underway via mail ballots and in-person options, final turnout patterns among core Democratic voters will determine the two advancers to the August 18 general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$5,118
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Aisha Wahab, the endorsed Democratic state senator, holds dominant trader consensus in the CA-14 special primary market ahead of the June 16 top-two contest to fill the East Bay seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. Her position stems from early party support, established fundraising, and name recognition in a district with heavy Democratic registration across Hayward, Fremont, Livermore, and surrounding areas. Other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez and Rakhi Israni Singh trail with limited visibility, while Republican candidates such as Wendy Huang face structural disadvantages in the nonpartisan primary. With voting underway via mail ballots and in-person options, final turnout patterns among core Democratic voters will determine the two advancers to the August 18 general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$5,118
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「CA-14 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Aisha Wahab」で99%、次いで「Melissa Hernandez」が99%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「CA-14 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 21, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「CA-14 Primary Winners」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA-14 Primary Winners」の現在のフロントランナーは「Aisha Wahab」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Melissa Hernandez」で99%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA-14 Primary Winners」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。