Jeremy Moss leads the MI-11 Democratic primary market at 78.5% implied probability, reflecting his frontrunner status in recent polls like the July Target Insyght survey showing him at 37% to Andy Levin's 24%, bolstered by key endorsements from EMILY's List and Planned Parenthood, plus superior fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand. Levin holds second at 10.5% on lingering name recognition as a former U.S. Representative and labor support, despite trailing in voter outreach. Aisha Farooqi and Dave Woodward lag at 4.3% and 2.8%, limited by lower name ID and resources. With the August 6 primary approaching, no major shifts have occurred in the past week, but turnout in Oakland and Macomb counties could influence the closely watched race in this safely Democratic district.