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政治·プライマリ

FL -19共和党予備選

icon for FL -19共和党予備選
政治·プライマリ

FL -19共和党予備選

カタリナ・ラウフ 41%

ジム・シュワーツェル 16.0%

ジム・オーバーワイス 11.1%

マディソン・コーソーン 10.8%

Polymarket

$22,879 Vol.

カタリナ・ラウフ 41%

ジム・シュワーツェル 16.0%

ジム・オーバーワイス 11.1%

マディソン・コーソーン 10.8%

Polymarket

$22,879 Vol.

カタリナ・ラウフ

$16,753 Vol.

41%

ジム・シュワーツェル

$604 Vol.

16%

ジム・オーバーワイス

$2,682 Vol.

11%

マディソン・コーソーン

$1,318 Vol.

11%

スペンサー・ローチ

$656 Vol.

6%

ボブ・ロメル

$865 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, 2026, features a field of over ten candidates vying to succeed the incumbent, who is pursuing higher office. Trader consensus currently favors Catalina Lauf, reflecting her prior Trump administration role and alignment with conservative priorities in this solidly Republican district spanning Lee and Collier counties. Jim Schwartzel follows, supported by substantial early fundraising and local media presence as a radio station owner. Jim Oberweis maintains a significant cash-on-hand advantage through personal contributions, while Madison Cawthorn draws on prior congressional experience despite past controversies. Spencer Roach and Bob Rommel trail, with limited visibility relative to the top contenders. Key upcoming factors include additional fundraising reports, candidate forums, and potential endorsements ahead of the filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$22,879
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, 2026, features a field of over ten candidates vying to succeed the incumbent, who is pursuing higher office. Trader consensus currently favors Catalina Lauf, reflecting her prior Trump administration role and alignment with conservative priorities in this solidly Republican district spanning Lee and Collier counties. Jim Schwartzel follows, supported by substantial early fundraising and local media presence as a radio station owner. Jim Oberweis maintains a significant cash-on-hand advantage through personal contributions, while Madison Cawthorn draws on prior congressional experience despite past controversies. Spencer Roach and Bob Rommel trail, with limited visibility relative to the top contenders. Key upcoming factors include additional fundraising reports, candidate forums, and potential endorsements ahead of the filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$22,879
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「FL -19共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カタリナ・ラウフ」で41%、次いで「ジム・シュワーツェル」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「FL -19共和党予備選」は$22.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「FL -19共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「FL -19共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「カタリナ・ラウフ」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジム・シュワーツェル」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「FL -19共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。